Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32964581›Full record

Observational studyBJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology2021

Second-trimester transvaginal ultrasound measurement of cervical length for prediction of preterm birth: a blinded prospective multicentre diagnostic accuracy study.

P Kuusela, B Jacobsson, H Hagberg, H Fadl, P Lindgren, J Wesström, U-B Wennerholm, L Valentin

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.8field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 48 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Universal cervical-length screening to prevent preterm birth in twin pregnancy: cost-utility analysis.Ultrasound in obstetrics & gynecology : the official journal of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Alterations in vaginal microbiome in women with short cervix: longitudinal study of microbial diversity and impact of vaginal progesterone treatment.Ultrasound in obstetrics & gynecology : the official journal of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology · 2025
    Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Predictive values of cervix length measurement based on transvaginal ultrasonography.Technology and health care : official journal of the European Society for Engineering and Medicine · 2024
    Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Cost-effectiveness of cervical length screening and progesterone treatment to prevent spontaneous preterm delivery in Sweden.Ultrasound in obstetrics & gynecology : the official journal of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

P KuuselaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Centre of Perinatal Medicine and Health, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9915-1201
B JacobssonDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Centre of Perinatal Medicine and Health, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
H HagbergDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Centre of Perinatal Medicine and Health, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
H FadlDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
P LindgrenDepartment of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
J WesströmCentre for Clinical Research Dalarna, Falun Hospital, Falun, Sweden.
U-B WennerholmDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Centre of Perinatal Medicine and Health, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden.
L ValentinDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Skåne University Hospital, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3830-6414
Sahlgrenska University Hospital · SEFalun Hospital · SEKarolinska University Hospital · SELund University · SEÖrebro University · SESödra Älvsborg Hospital · SE

Funding

Forskning och Utbildning (FoU) Södra ÄlvsborgSwedish Government and the County Councils ALFGBG-136431Swedish Government and the County Councils ALFGBG-426411Swedish Government and the County Councils ALFGBG-71859Swedish Research Council Dnr 2014-06998The Swedish National Patient Insurance Company
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the diagnostic performance of sonographic cervical length for the prediction of preterm birth (PTB).

designProspective observational multicentre study.

settingSeven Swedish ultrasound centres. SAMPLE: A cohort of 11 456 asymptomatic women with a singleton pregnancy.

methodsCervical length was measured with transvaginal ultrasound at 18-20 weeks of gestation (C×1) and at 21-23 weeks of gestation (C×2, optional). Staff and participants were blinded to results.

main outcome measuresArea under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV), positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR+ and LR-), number of false-positive results per true-positive result (FP/TP), number needed to screen to detect one PTB (NNS) and prevalence of 'short' cervix.

resultsSpontaneous PTB (sPTB) at <33 weeks of gestation occurred in 56/11 072 (0.5%) women in the C×1 population (89% white) and in 26/6288 (0.4%) in the C×2 population (92% white). The discriminative ability of shortest endocervical length was better the earlier the sPTB occurred and was better at C×2 than at C×1 (AUC to predict sPTB at <33 weeks of gestation 0.76 versus 0.65, difference in AUC 0.11, 95% CI 0.01-0.23). At C×2, the shortest endocervical length of ≤25 mm (prevalence 4.4%) predicted sPTB at <33 weeks of gestation with sensitivity 38.5% (10/26), specificity 95.8% (5998/6262), PPV 3.6% (10/274), NPV 99.7% (5988/6014), LR+ 9.1, LR- 0.64, FP/TP 26 and NNS 629.

conclusionsSecond-trimester sonographic cervical length can identify women at high risk of sPTB. In a population of mainly white women with a low prevalence of sPTB its diagnostic performance is at best moderate. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Cervical length screening to predict preterm birth in a white low-risk population has moderate performance.

Indexed as

Cervical Length MeasurementPregnancy Trimester, SecondAdultCervix UteriFemaleHumansPredictive Value of TestsPregnancyPremature BirthProspective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveSwedenCervical length measurementdiagnostic screening programmespregnancypreterm birthsecond trimester

Identifiers

PMID32964581
PMCPMC7821210
OpenAlexW3087657219

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.