Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32963240›Full record

ArticleNature communications2020

Summer warming explains widespread but not uniform greening in the Arctic tundra biome.

Logan T Berner, Richard Massey, Patrick Jantz, Bruce C Forbes, Marc Macias-Fauria, Isla Myers-Smith, Timo Kumpula, Gilles Gauthier, Laia Andreu-Hayles, Benjamin V Gaglioti and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 63 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
63citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

63 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  10. Accelerated north-east shift of the global green wave trajectory.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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3 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Logan T BernerSchool of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, USA. logan.berner@nau.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8947-0479
Richard MasseySchool of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4831-8718
Patrick JantzSchool of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5103-2270
Bruce C ForbesArctic Centre, University of Lapland, 96101, Rovaniemi, Finland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4593-5083
Marc Macias-FauriaSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX1 3QF, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8438-2223
Isla Myers-SmithSchool of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, EH9 3FF, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8417-6112
Timo KumpulaDepartment of Geographical and Historical Studies, University of Eastern Finland, 80101, Joensuu, Finland.
Gilles GauthierDepartment of Biology and Centre d'études nordiques, Université Laval, Quebec City, QC, G1V0A6, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2624-3508
Laia Andreu-HaylesLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, 10964, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4185-681X
Benjamin V GagliotiWater and Environment Research Center, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, 99775, USA.
Patrick BurnsSchool of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7971-4177
Pentti ZetterbergDepartment of Forest Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, 80101, Joensuu, Finland.
Rosanne D'ArrigoLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, 10964, USA.
Scott J GoetzSchool of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, 86011, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6326-4308

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Arctic warming can influence tundra ecosystem function with consequences for climate feedbacks, wildlife and human communities. Yet ecological change across the Arctic tundra biome remains poorly quantified due to field measurement limitations and reliance on coarse-resolution satellite data. Here, we assess decadal changes in Arctic tundra greenness using time series from the 30 m resolution Landsat satellites. From 1985 to 2016 tundra greenness increased (greening) at ~37.3% of sampling sites and decreased (browning) at ~4.7% of sampling sites. Greening occurred most often at warm sampling sites with increased summer air temperature, soil temperature, and soil moisture, while browning occurred most often at cold sampling sites that cooled and dried. Tundra greenness was positively correlated with graminoid, shrub, and ecosystem productivity measured at field sites. Our results support the hypothesis that summer warming stimulated plant productivity across much, but not all, of the Arctic tundra biome during recent decades.

Indexed as

EcosystemSeasonsTundraArctic RegionsClimate ChangeEnvironmental MonitoringPlant DevelopmentPlantsSoilTemperatureSoil

Identifiers

PMID32963240
PMCPMC7509805

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.