Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32959760›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene2020

Will More of the Same Achieve Malaria Elimination? Results from an Integrated Macroeconomic Epidemiological Demographic Model.

Richard D Smith, Marcus R Keogh-Brown, R Matthew Chico, Michael T Bretscher, Chris Drakeley, Henning Tarp Jensen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  8. Article
  9. Malaria Prevalence and Macroeconomic Output in Ghana, 1990 to 2019.Inquiry : a journal of medical care organization, provision and financing
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Richard D SmithCollege of Medicine and Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom.
Marcus R Keogh-BrownFaculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
R Matthew ChicoFaculty of Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Michael T BretscherDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Imperial College, London, United Kingdom.
Chris DrakeleyFaculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Henning Tarp JensenDepartment of Food and Resource Economics, Faculty of Science, University of Copenhagen, Frederiksberg, United Kingdom.

Funding

Medical Research Council G0902036/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Historic levels of funding have reduced the global burden of malaria in recent years. Questions remain, however, as to whether scaling up interventions, in parallel with economic growth, has made malaria elimination more likely today than previously. The consequences of "trying but failing" to eliminate malaria are also uncertain. Reduced malaria exposure decreases the acquisition of semi-immunity during childhood, a necessary phase of the immunological transition that occurs on the pathway to malaria elimination. During this transitional period, the risk of malaria resurgence increases as proportionately more individuals across all age-groups are less able to manage infections by immune response alone. We developed a robust model that integrates the effects of malaria transmission, demography, and macroeconomics in the context of

Indexed as

Models, EconomicDisease EradicationHealth PolicyHumansMalaria

Identifiers

PMID32959760
PMCPMC7646798

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.