Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32957641›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020

Implications of Projected Hydroclimatic Change for Tularemia Outbreaks in High-Risk Areas across Sweden.

Yan Ma, Guillaume Vigouroux, Zahra Kalantari, Romain Goldenberg, Georgia Destouni

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Targeting Tularemia: Clinical, Laboratory, and Treatment Outcomes From an 11-year Retrospective Observational Cohort in Northern Sweden.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Observational
  3. Non-vaccinal prophylaxis of tularemia.Frontiers in microbiology · 2024
    Review
  4. Research on Selected Wildlife Infections in the Circumpolar Arctic-A Bibliometric Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yan MaDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-9531-1965
Guillaume VigourouxDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9174-0765
Zahra KalantariDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7978-0040
Romain GoldenbergDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.
Georgia DestouniDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9408-4425

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Hydroclimatic change may affect the range of some infectious diseases, including tularemia. Previous studies have investigated associations between tularemia incidence and climate variables, with some also establishing quantitative statistical disease models based on historical data, but studies considering future climate projections are scarce. This study has used and combined hydro-climatic projection outputs from multiple global climate models (GCMs) in phase six of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), and site-specific, parameterized statistical tularemia models, which all imply some type of power-law scaling with preceding-year tularemia cases, to assess possible future trends in disease outbreaks for six counties across Sweden, known to include tularemia high-risk areas. Three radiative forcing (emissions) scenarios are considered for climate change projection until year 2100, incuding low (2.6 Wm

Indexed as

Climate ChangeTularemiaDisease OutbreaksForecastingHumansSwedenCMIP6 projectionshigh-risk siteshydroclimatic changeinfectious diseaseSwedentularemia

Identifiers

PMID32957641
PMCPMC7558863

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.