Coronavirus disease-19 spread in the Eastern Mediterranean Region, updates and prediction of disease progression in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Pakistan.

Asmaa Fady Sharif, Sara Kamal Mattout, Noha Adel Mitwally

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Article in International journal of health sciences. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

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4citing papers in PubMed

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1 · What the graph read from it

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 citing papers in PubMed.

Pathophysiology of Methicillin-ResistantPathophysiology : the official journal of the International Society for Pathophysiology · 2022
Article
Too early for admission? A Telemedicine follow up comparison of mild COVID-19 patients from the Emergency Department and Clinics.International journal of health sciences
Article
Parents as coronavirus disease-19 carriers in intrafamily settings: Cases of severe forms in a family cluster.International journal of health sciences
Article
The PSYCARE model: Its efficacy in mental health care during the fourth outbreak of COVID-19 in Vietnam.International journal of health sciences
Article

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Asmaa Fady SharifDepartment of Forensic Medicine and Clinical Toxicology, Faculty of Medicine, Tanta University, Egypt.

Sara Kamal MattoutDepartment of Diagnostic Radiology, Zagazig Infectious Diseases Hospital, Ministry of Health and Population, Egypt; Department of Clinical Medical Sciences, College of Medicine Dar Al Uloom University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Noha Adel MitwallyDepartment of Basic Medical Sciences, College of medicine Dar Al Uloom University, Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe present study is considered the first study that aims to estimate the spread of coronavirus disease (COVID)-19 pandemic in the Eastern Mediterranean Region and to predict the pattern of spread among Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) in comparison to Iran and Pakistan.

methodsData during the period from January 29, 2020, till April 14, 2020, were extracted from 76 WHO situational reports and from the Worldometer website. Numbers of populations in each country were considered during data analysis. Susceptible, infectious, recovered, and deaths (SIRD) model and smoothing spline regression model were used to predict the number of cases in each country.

resultsSIRD model in KSA yielded β = 2e-0.6, γ = 0.006, and μ = 0.00038 and R

conclusionThe cumulative infected cases are expected to grow exponentially. Although R

Indexed as

and deaths modelEastern Mediterranean regioninfectiousKingdom of Saudi Arabiapredictionrecoveredsevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2smoothing spline regression modelsusceptible

Identifiers

PMID32952503

PMCPMC7475206

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LicenceCC BY-NC-SA

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.