Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32946453›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2020

Effects of temperature and humidity on the spread of COVID-19: A systematic review.

Paulo Mecenas, Renata Travassos da Rosa Moreira Bastos, Antonio Carlos Rosário Vallinoto, David Normando

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 205 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
205citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
12.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

205 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 426 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Global meta-analysis of short-term associations between ambient temperature and pathogen-specific respiratory infections, 2004 to 2023.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025
    Pooled it
  3. What is the Role of SNORA42 in Carcinogenesis? A Systematic Review.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2023
    Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020
    Pooled it
  7. Article
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  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. The next viral pandemic-where do we stand?Folia microbiologica · 2025
    Review
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  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Review

145 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Paulo MecenasDepartment of Orthodontics, Federal University of Pará, Belém, Pará, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0001-5051-7129
Renata Travassos da Rosa Moreira BastosDepartment of Orthodontics, Federal University of Pará, Belém, Pará, Brazil.
Antonio Carlos Rosário VallinotoInstitute of Biological Sciences, Virology Laboratory, Federal University of Pará, Belém, Pará, Brazil.
David NormandoDepartment of Orthodontics, Federal University of Pará, Belém, Pará, Brazil.
Universidade Federal do Pará · BR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFaced with the global pandemic of COVID-19, declared by World Health Organization (WHO) on March 11th 2020, and the need to better understand the seasonal behavior of the virus, our team conducted this systematic review to describe current knowledge about the emergence and replicability of the virus and its connection with different weather factors such as temperature and relative humidity.

methodsThe review was registered with the PROSPERO database. The electronic databases PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, LILACS, OpenGrey and Google Scholar were examined with the searches restricted to the years 2019 and 2020. Risk of bias assessment was performed using the Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) Critical Appraisal Checklist tool. The GRADE tool was used to assess the certainty of the evidence.

resultsThe initial screening identified 517 articles. After examination of the full texts, seventeen studies met the review's eligibility criteria. Great homogeneity was observed in the findings regarding the effect of temperature and humidity on the seasonal viability and transmissibility of COVID-19. Cold and dry conditions were potentiating factors on the spread of the virus. After quality assessment, two studies had a high risk of bias, eleven studies were scored as moderate risk of bias, and four studies were classified as low risk of bias. The certainty of evidence was graded as low for both outcomes evaluated.

conclusionConsidering the existing scientific evidence, warm and wet climates seem to reduce the spread of COVID-19. However, these variables alone could not explain most of the variability in disease transmission. Therefore, the countries most affected by the disease should focus on health policies, even with climates less favorable to the virus. Although the certainty of the evidence generated was classified as low, there was homogeneity between the results reported by the included studies.

Indexed as

HumidityTemperatureBetacoronavirusBiasCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19HumansPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID32946453
PMCPMC7500589
OpenAlexW3087558377

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.