Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32945226›Full record

ArticlePalliative medicine2021

The burden of serious health-related suffering among cancer decedents: Global projections study to 2060.

Katherine E Sleeman, Barbara Gomes, Maja de Brito, Omar Shamieh, Richard Harding

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Palliative medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed
6.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 67 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Palliative care development as a solution to mitigate the human crisis of cancer in low- and middle-income countries: a theory of change approach.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2026
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  19. Integrating evidence-based communication principles into routine cancer care.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Katherine E SleemanKing's College London, Faculty of Nursing, Midwifery and Palliative Care, Cicely Saunders Institute, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9777-4373
Barbara GomesKing's College London, Faculty of Nursing, Midwifery and Palliative Care, Cicely Saunders Institute, London, UK.
Maja de BritoKing's College London, Faculty of Nursing, Midwifery and Palliative Care, Cicely Saunders Institute, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3749-7183
Omar ShamiehDepartment of Palliative Care, King Hussein Cancer Center, Amman, Jordan.
Richard HardingKing's College London, Faculty of Nursing, Midwifery and Palliative Care, Cicely Saunders Institute, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9653-8689
King's College London · GBKing Hussein Cancer Center · JO

Funding

Department of Health CS-2015–15–005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPalliative care improves outcomes for people with cancer, but in many countries access remains poor. Understanding future needs is essential for effective health system planning in response to global policy.

aimTo project the burden of serious health-related suffering associated with death from cancer to 2060 by age, gender, cancer type and World Bank income region.

designPopulation-based projections study. Global projections of palliative care need were derived by combining World Health Organization cancer mortality projections (2016-2060) with estimates of serious health-related suffering among cancer decedents.

resultsBy 2060, serious health-related suffering will be experienced by 16.3 million people dying with cancer each year (compared to 7.8 million in 2016). Serious health-related suffering among cancer decedents will increase more quickly in low income countries (407% increase 2016-2060) compared to lower-middle, upper-middle and high income countries (168%, 96% and 39% increase 2016-2060, respectively). By 2060, 67% of people who die with cancer and experience serious health-related suffering will be over 70 years old, compared to 47% in 2016. In high and upper-middle income countries, lung cancer will be the single greatest contributor to the burden of serious health-related suffering among cancer decedents. In low and lower-middle income countries, breast cancer will be the single greatest contributor.

conclusionsMany people with cancer will die with unnecessary suffering unless there is expansion of palliative care integration into cancer programmes. Failure to do this will be damaging for the individuals affected and the health systems within which they are treated.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsPalliative CareAgedForecastingHumansIncomeWorld Health Organizationcancerpainpalliative carepsychologicalstressTerminal care

Identifiers

PMID32945226
PMCPMC7797611
OpenAlexW3087389814

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.