ArticleJournal of risk and uncertainty2020
E-Cigarettes and Adult Smoking: Evidence from Minnesota.
Article in Journal of risk and uncertainty, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
35 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 80 citations in OpenAlex.
- The impact of e-cigarette taxation: a systematic review and meta-analysis on usage, pricing strategies, and public health implications.BMC medicine · 2026Pooled it
- A systematic review and network meta-analysis of population-level interventions to tackle smoking behaviour.Nature human behaviour · 2024Pooled it
- E-CIGARETTE FLAVOR RESTRICTIONS' EFFECTS ON TOBACCO PRODUCT SALES.American journal of health economics · 2026Article
- Comprehensive E-Cigarette Flavor Bans and Tobacco Use Among Youth and Adults.Health economics · 2025Article
- Projected Impact of Higher E-cigarette or Combustible Cigarette Taxes on Use of Both Products in the U.S.AJPM focus · 2025Article
- The economic factors that determine smoking abstinence: a survival and mediation analysis.The International journal on drug policy · 2025Article
- Smokeless tobacco excise taxes in the US: Standardizing the measurement for empirical analysis.Preventive medicine reports · 2025Article
- Effect of e-cigarette taxes on e-cigarette and cigarette retail prices and sales, USA, 2014-2019.Tobacco control · 2025Article
- Scoping of Policy Impacts for Regulating E-cigarettes (SPIRE): findings from a data and decision analytic model mapping project.NIHR open research · 2025Article
- Changes in e-cigarette use and related behaviors following the 2022 e-cigarette tax increase in China: A prospective longitudinal observational study.Tobacco induced diseases · 2025Article
- Do e-cigarette retail licensure laws reduce youth tobacco use?Journal of health economics · 2024Article
- The Effect of E-Cigarette Indoor Vaping Restrictions on Infant Mortality.Southern economic journal · 2024Article
- How do users compare the costs between nicotine vaping products and cigarettes? Findings from the 2016-2020 International Tobacco Control United States surveys.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2024Article
- Expanding on cross-price elasticity: Understanding tobacco product demand and substitution from the cross-price purchase task.Journal of the experimental analysis of behavior · 2024Article
- Effects of E-Cigarette Minimum Legal Sales Ages on Youth Tobacco Use in the United States.Journal of risk and uncertainty · 2023Article
- The impact of JUUL market entry on cigarette sales: evidence from a major chain retailer in Canada.Harm reduction journal · 2023Article
- Nicotine e-cigarettes as a tool for smoking cessation.Nature medicine · 2023Article
- Tobacco harm reduction in Afghanistan: a recipe for improving smokers' health.Substance abuse treatment, prevention, and policy · 2023Article
- Intended and unintended effects of e-cigarette taxes on youth tobacco use.Journal of health economics · 2023Article
- Use of Vaping as a Smoking Cessation Aid: A Review of Clinical Trials.Journal of multidisciplinary healthcare · 2023Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
E-cigarettes provide nicotine in a vapor form, which is considered less harmful than the smoke from combustible cigarettes because it does not contain the toxins that are found in tobacco smoke. E-cigarettes may be effective in helping smokers to quit or they might simply provide smokers a method of bypassing smoking restrictions. There is very little causal evidence to date on how e-cigarette use impacts smoking cessation among adults. Minnesota was the first to impose a tax on e-cigarettes. This tax provides a plausibly exogenous deterrent to e-cigarette use. We utilize data from the Current Population Survey Tobacco Use Supplements from 1992 to 2015 to assess how the Minnesota tax increase impacted smoking cessation among adult smokers. Estimates suggest that the e-cigarette tax increased adult smoking and reduced smoking cessation in Minnesota, relative to the control group, and imply a cross elasticity of current smoking participation with respect to e-cigarette prices of 0.13. Our results suggest that in the sample period about 32,400 additional adult smokers would have quit smoking in Minnesota in the absence of the tax. If this tax were imposed on a national level about 1.8 million smokers would be deterred from quitting in a ten year period. The taxation of e-cigarettes at the same rate as cigarettes could deter more than 2.75 million smokers nationally from quitting in the same period. The public health benefits of not taxing e-cigarettes, however, must be weighed against effects of this decision on efforts to reduce vaping by youth.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.