Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32939192›Full record

ArticleJournal of computational and graphical statistics : a joint publication of American Statistical Association, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America2020

Scalable Bayesian Inference for Coupled Hidden Markov and Semi-Markov Models.

Panayiota Touloupou, Bärbel Finkenstädt, Simon E F Spencer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of computational and graphical statistics : a joint publication of American Statistical Association, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Interface Foundation of North America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Modelling methicillin-resistantJournal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2022
    Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Simulation based composite likelihood.Statistics and computing · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Panayiota TouloupouDepartment of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Bärbel FinkenstädtDepartment of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Simon E F SpencerDepartment of Statistics, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/P026400/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Bayesian inference for coupled hidden Markov models frequently relies on data augmentation techniques for imputation of the hidden state processes. Considerable progress has been made on developing such techniques, mainly using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. However, as the dimensionality and complexity of the hidden processes increase some of these methods become inefficient, either because they produce MCMC chains with high autocorrelation or because they become computationally intractable. Motivated by this fact we developed a novel MCMC algorithm, which is a modification of the forward filtering backward sampling algorithm, that achieves a good balance between computation and mixing properties, and thus can be used to analyze models with large numbers of hidden chains. Even though our approach is developed under the assumption of a Markovian model, we show how this assumption can be relaxed leading to minor modifications in the algorithm. Our approach is particularly well suited to epidemic models, where the hidden Markov chains represent the infection status of an individual through time. The performance of our method is assessed on simulated data on epidemic models for the spread of

Indexed as

Coupled hidden Markov modelData augmentationEpidemicsForward–backward algorithmMarkov chain Monte Carlo methods

Identifiers

PMID32939192
PMCPMC7455056

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.