Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32937765›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020

Multifactorial 10-Year Prior Diagnosis Prediction Model of Dementia.

Ana Luiza Dallora, Leandro Minku, Emilia Mendes, Mikael Rennemark, Peter Anderberg, Johan Sanmartin Berglund

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Observational
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  11. Health Risk, Functional Markers and Cognitive Status in Institutionalized Older Adults: A Longitudinal Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  12. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Ana Luiza DalloraDepartment of Health, Blekinge Institute of Technology, 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-6752-017X
Leandro MinkuSchool of Computer Science, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2639-0671
Emilia MendesDepartment of Computer Science, Blekinge Institute of Technology, 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden.
Mikael RennemarkFaculty of Health and Life Sciences, Linnaeus University, 351 95 Kalmar, Sweden.
Peter AnderbergDepartment of Health, Blekinge Institute of Technology, 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9870-8477
Johan Sanmartin BerglundDepartment of Health, Blekinge Institute of Technology, 371 79 Karlskrona, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-4312-2246
Blekinge Institute of Technology · SELinnaeus University · SEUniversity of Birmingham · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dementia is a neurodegenerative disorder that affects the older adult population. To date, no cure or treatment to change its course is available. Since changes in the brains of affected individuals could be evidenced as early as 10 years before the onset of symptoms, prognosis research should consider this time frame. This study investigates a broad decision tree multifactorial approach for the prediction of dementia, considering 75 variables regarding demographic, social, lifestyle, medical history, biochemical tests, physical examination, psychological assessment and health instruments. Previous work on dementia prognoses with machine learning did not consider a broad range of factors in a large time frame. The proposed approach investigated predictive factors for dementia and possible prognostic subgroups. This study used data from the ongoing multipurpose Swedish National Study on Aging and Care, consisting of 726 subjects (91 presented dementia diagnosis in 10 years). The proposed approach achieved an AUC of 0.745 and Recall of 0.722 for the 10-year prognosis of dementia. Most of the variables selected by the tree are related to modifiable risk factors; physical strength was important across all ages. Also, there was a lack of variables related to health instruments routinely used for the dementia diagnosis.

Indexed as

DementiaMachine LearningAgedFemaleHumansLife StyleMaleRisk FactorsTimecost sensitive learningdecision treedementiamachine learningmodifiable risk factorsprognosiswrapper feature selection

Identifiers

PMID32937765
PMCPMC7557767
OpenAlexW3086216066

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.