Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32936943›Full record

SynthesisThe British journal of surgery2020

Local recurrence after local excision of early rectal cancer: a meta-analysis of completion TME, adjuvant (chemo)radiation, or no additional treatment.

S E van Oostendorp, L J H Smits, Y Vroom, R Detering, M W Heymans, L M G Moons, P J Tanis, E J R de Graaf, C Cunningham, Q Denost and 2 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The British journal of surgery, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07669298 (Active Surveillance vs Adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Locally Resected Intermediate-Risk T1 Rectal Cancer), which is not on this map. Cited by 56 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
56citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07669298 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Active Surveillance vs Adjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Locally Resected Intermediate-Risk T1 Rectal Cancer: Multicentre Randomised Controlled Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorMedical University of GdanskRan2026 to 2037Enrolled480ConditionsRectal CancerArmsActive surveillance, Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

56 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

S E van OostendorpDepartment of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Cancer Centre Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
L J H SmitsDepartment of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Cancer Centre Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-5889-7939
Y VroomDepartment of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Cancer Centre Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
R DeteringDepartment of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Cancer Centre Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-2412-7116
M W HeymansDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
L M G MoonsDepartment of Gastroenterology, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
P J TanisDepartment of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Cancer Centre Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
E J R de GraafDepartment of Surgery, IJsselland Ziekenhuis, Capelle aan den Ijssel, the Netherlands.
C CunninghamDepartment of Surgery, Oxford University Hospitals, Oxford, UK.
Q DenostDepartment of Surgery, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Bordeaux, Bordeaux, France.ORCID 0000-0003-3088-5244
M KustersDepartment of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Cancer Centre Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
J B TuynmanDepartment of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Cancer Centre Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe risks of local recurrence and treatment-related morbidity need to be balanced after local excision of early rectal cancer. The aim of this meta-analysis was to determine oncological outcomes after local excision of pT1-2 rectal cancer followed by no additional treatment (NAT), completion total mesorectal excision (cTME) or adjuvant (chemo)radiotherapy (aCRT).

methodsA systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Embase and the Cochrane Library. The primary outcome was local recurrence. Statistical analysis included calculation of the weighted average of proportions.

resultsSome 73 studies comprising 4674 patients were included in the analysis. Sixty-two evaluated NAT, 13 cTME and 28 aCRT. The local recurrence rate for NAT among low-risk pT1 tumours was 6·7 (95 per cent c.i. 4·8 to 9·3) per cent. There were no local recurrences of low-risk pT1 tumours after cTME or aCRT. The local recurrence rate for high-risk pT1 tumours was 13·6 (8·0 to 22·0) per cent for local excision only, 4·1 (1·7 to 9·4) per cent for cTME and 3·9 (2·0 to 7·5) per cent for aCRT. Local recurrence rates for pT2 tumours were 28·9 (22·3 to 36·4) per cent with NAT, 4 (1 to 13) per cent after cTME and 14·7 (11·2 to 19·0) per cent after aCRT.

conclusionThere is a substantial risk of local recurrence in patients who receive no additional treatment after local excision, especially those with high-risk pT1 and pT2 rectal cancer. The lowest recurrence risk is provided by cTME; aCRT has outcomes comparable to those of cTME for high-risk pT1 tumours, but shows a higher risk for pT2 tumours.

Indexed as

Chemoradiotherapy, AdjuvantProctectomyHumansNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNeoplasm StagingRectal NeoplasmsTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID32936943
PMCPMC7692925

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.