Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32933503›Full record

ArticleBMC health services research2020

Impact of the Programa Mais médicos (more doctors Programme) on primary care doctor supply and amenable mortality: quasi-experimental study of 5565 Brazilian municipalities.

Thomas Hone, Timothy Powell-Jackson, Leonor Maria Pacheco Santos, Ricardo de Sousa Soares, Felipe Proenço de Oliveira, Mauro Niskier Sanchez, Matthew Harris, Felipe de Oliveira de Souza Santos, Christopher Millett

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC health services research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
11.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 66 citations in OpenAlex.

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  4. Infrastructure-health nexus in Brazil: a scoping review.Global health research and policy · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Thomas HonePublic Health Policy Evaluation Unit, Imperial College London, London, UK. thomas.hone12@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0703-6973
Timothy Powell-JacksonDepartment of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Leonor Maria Pacheco SantosDepartamento de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade de Brasília, Brasília, DF, Brazil.
Ricardo de Sousa SoaresDepartamento de Promoção da Saúde, Universidade Federal da Paraíba, João Pessoa, PB, Brazil.
Felipe Proenço de OliveiraDepartamento de Promoção da Saúde, Universidade Federal da Paraíba, João Pessoa, PB, Brazil.
Mauro Niskier SanchezDepartamento de Saúde Coletiva, Universidade de Brasília, Brasília, DF, Brazil.
Matthew HarrisDepartment of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Felipe de Oliveira de Souza SantosSecretaria Estadual de Saude Paraíba, João Pessoa, PB, Brazil.
Christopher MillettPublic Health Policy Evaluation Unit, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Imperial College London · GBUniversidade de Brasília · BRUniversidade Federal da Paraíba · BRLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBSecretaria da Saúde · BR

Funding

Fundação de Apoio à Pesquisa do Distrito Federal 00193-00000356/2018-24Fundação de Apoio à Pesquisa do Estado da Paraíba 001/2018Medical Research Council MR/R022887/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundInvesting in human resources for health (HRH) is vital for achieving universal health care and the Sustainable Development Goals. The Programa Mais Médicos (PMM) (More Doctors Programme) provided 17,000 doctors, predominantly from Cuba, to work in Brazilian primary care. This study assesses whether PMM doctor allocation to municipalities was consistent with programme criteria and associated impacts on amenable mortality.

methodsDifference-in-differences regression analysis, exploiting variation in PMM introduction across 5565 municipalities over the period 2008-2017, was employed to examine programme impacts on doctor density and mortality amenable to healthcare. Heterogeneity in effects was explored with respect to doctor allocation criteria and municipal doctor density prior to PMM introduction.

resultsAfter starting in 2013, PMM was associated with an increase in PMM-contracted primary care doctors of 15.1 per 100,000 population. However, largescale substitution of existing primary care doctors resulting in a net increase of only 5.7 per 100,000. Increases in both PMM and total primary care doctors were lower in priority municipalities due to lower allocation of PMM doctors and greater substitution effects. The PMM led to amenable mortality reductions of - 1.06 per 100,000 (95%CI: - 1.78 to - 0.34) annually - with greater benefits in municipalities prioritised for doctor allocation and where doctor density was low before programme implementation.

conclusionsPMM potential health benefits were undermined due to widespread allocation of doctors to non-priority areas and local substitution effects. Policies seeking to strengthen HRH should develop and implement needs-based criteria for resource allocation.

Indexed as

MortalityProgram EvaluationBrazilCitiesDelivery of Health CareGovernment ProgramsHumansPhysicians, Primary CarePrimary Health CareBrazilDoctorsHuman resources for healthMortalityPrimary care

Identifiers

PMID32933503
PMCPMC7491024
OpenAlexW3085774690

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.