Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32930969›Full record

ArticleDiabetes therapy : research, treatment and education of diabetes and related disorders2020

Development and Internal Validation of a Discrete Event Simulation Model of Diabetic Kidney Disease Using CREDENCE Trial Data.

Michael Willis, Christian Asseburg, April Slee, Andreas Nilsson, Cheryl Neslusan

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes therapy : research, treatment and education of diabetes and related disorders, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It reports registered trial NCT02065791. Cited by 11 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02065791 phase3completed

A Randomized, Double-blind, Event-driven, Placebo-controlled, Multicenter Study of the Effects of Canagliflozin on Renal and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Diabetic Nephropathy

Ran2014Enrolled4,401Registered outcomes8Posted comparisons8ConditionsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Diabetic NephropathyArmsCanagliflozin, Placebo
Open the trial in the graph
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Modeling Chronic Kidney Disease in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Systematic Literature Review of Models, Data Sources, and Derivation Cohorts.Diabetes therapy : research, treatment and education of diabetes and related disorders · 2022
    Review
  10. Discrete-Event Simulation Modeling in Healthcare: A Comprehensive Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Review
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Michael WillisThe Swedish Institute for Health Economics, Lund, Sweden. mw@ihe.se.
Christian AsseburgESiOR Oy, Kuopio, Finland.
April SleeAxio Research Inc, Seattle, WA, USA.
Andreas NilssonThe Swedish Institute for Health Economics, Lund, Sweden.
Cheryl NeslusanJanssen Scientific Affairs, LLC, Titusville, NJ, USA.
Swedish Institute for Health Economics · SEESiOR Oy (Finland) · FIJanssen (United States) · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionThe Canagliflozin and Renal Endpoints in Diabetes with Established Nephropathy Clinical Evaluation (CREDENCE) study showed that compared with placebo, canagliflozin 100 mg significantly reduced the risk of major cardiovascular events and adverse renal outcomes in patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD). We developed a simulation model that can be used to estimate the long-term health and economic consequences of DKD treatment interventions for patients matching the CREDENCE study population.

methodsThe CREDENCE Economic Model of DKD (CREDEM-DKD) was developed using patient-level data from CREDENCE (which recruited patients with estimated glomerular filtration rate 30 to < 90 mL/min/1.73 m

resultsRisk prediction equations generally fit well and exhibited good concordance, especially for the placebo arm. In the canagliflozin arm, modest underprediction was observed for myocardial infarction, along with overprediction of dialysis, doubling of serum creatinine, and all-cause mortality. Discrimination was strong (0.85) for the renal outcomes, but weaker for the macrovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality (0.60-0.68). The model performed well in internal and external validation exercises.

conclusionCREDEM-DKD is an important new tool in the evaluation of treatment interventions in the DKD population.

trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov identifier, NCT02065791.

Indexed as

CanagliflozinDiabetic kidney diseaseEconomic simulation modelRenalRisk predictionType 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID32930969
PMCPMC7547928
OpenAlexW3087390225

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.