Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32929411›Full record

ArticleModeling earth systems and environment2021

Geospatial modelling on the spread and dynamics of 154 day outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in Bangladesh towards vulnerability zoning and management approaches.

Md Rejaur Rahman, A H M Hedayutul Islam, Md Nazrul Islam

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Modeling earth systems and environment, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Methods Used in the Spatial and Spatiotemporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiology: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Epidemic dynamics in census-calibrated modular contact network.Network modeling and analysis in health informatics and bioinformatics · 2023
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Spatiotemporal Analysis of Covid-19 in Turkey.Sustainable cities and society · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Spatiotemporal Study of COVID-19 in Fars Province, Iran, October-November 2020: Establishment of Early Warning System.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2022
    Article
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  17. Observational
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  19. Review
  20. COVID-19 Patient Count Prediction Using LSTM.IEEE transactions on computational social systems · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Md Rejaur RahmanDepartment of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi, 6205 Bangladesh.ORCID 0000-0003-3560-7200
A H M Hedayutul IslamDepartment of Geography and Environmental Studies, University of Rajshahi, Rajshahi, 6205 Bangladesh.
Md Nazrul IslamDepartment of Geography and Environment, Jahangirnagar University, Savar, Dhaka, 1342 Bangladesh.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The novel COVID-19 is a worldwide transmitted pandemic and has received global attention. Since there is no effective medication yet, to minimize and control the transmission of the COVID-19, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are followed globally. However, for the implementation of needful NPIs through effective management strategies and planning, space-time-based information on the nature, magnitude, pattern of transmission, hotspots, the potential risk factors, vulnerability, and risk level of the pandemic are important. Hence, this study was an attempt to in-depth assess and analyze the COVID-19 outbreak and transmission dynamics through space and time in Bangladesh using 154 day real-time epidemiological data series. District-level data were analyzed for the geospatial analysis and modelling using GIS. Getis-Ord Gi* statistics was applied for the hotspot analysis, and on the other hand, the analytical hierarchy process-based weighted sum method (AHP-WSM) was used for the modelling of vulnerability zoning of COVID-19. In Bangladesh, the status of the pandemic COVID-19 still is in exposure level. Disease transmitted at a high rate (20.37%), and doubling time of the cases were 11 days (latest week of the study period). The fatality rate was comparatively low (1.3%), and the recovery rate was about 57.50%. Geospatial analysis exhibits

Indexed as

BangladeshCOVID-19Geospatial modellingGIS and hotspotsManagement strategiesVulnerability zoning

Identifiers

PMID32929411
PMCPMC7480637

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.