Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32928754›Full record

ArticleAnnals of family medicine2020

Peritonsillar Abscess and Antibiotic Prescribing for Respiratory Infection in Primary Care: A Population-Based Cohort Study and Decision-Analytic Model.

Joanne R Winter, Judith Charlton, Mark Ashworth, Catey Bunce, Martin C Gulliford

Open access · diamondAbstract read
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Article in Annals of family medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.1field-weighted citation impact, top 44% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Joanne R WinterKing's College London, School of Population Health and Environmental Sciences, London, United Kingdom.
Judith CharltonKing's College London, School of Population Health and Environmental Sciences, London, United Kingdom.
Mark AshworthKing's College London, School of Population Health and Environmental Sciences, London, United Kingdom.
Catey BunceKing's College London, School of Population Health and Environmental Sciences, London, United Kingdom.
Martin C GullifordKing's College London, School of Population Health and Environmental Sciences, London, United Kingdom martin.gulliford@kcl.ac.uk.
King's College London · GBSt Thomas' Hospital · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo quantify the risk of peritonsillar abscess (PTA) following consultation for respiratory tract infection (RTI) in primary care.

methodA cohort study was conducted in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink including 718 general practices with 65,681,293 patient years of follow-up and 11,007 patients with a first episode of PTA. From a decision tree, Bayes theorem was employed to estimate both the probability of PTA following an RTI consultation if antibiotics were prescribed or not, and the number of patients needed to be treated with antibiotics to prevent 1 PTA.

resultsThere were 11,007 patients with PTA with age-standardized incidence of new episodes of PTA of 17.2 per 100,000 patient years for men and 16.1 for women; 6,996 (64%) consulted their practitioner in the 30 days preceding PTA diagnosis, including 4,243 (39%) consulting for RTI. The probability of PTA following an RTI consultation was greatest in men aged 15 to 24 years with 1 PTA in 565 (95% uncertainty interval 527 to 605) RTI consultations without antibiotics prescribed but 1 in 1,139 consultations (1,044 to 1,242) if antibiotics were prescribed. One PTA might be avoided for every 1,121 (975 to 1,310) additional antibiotic prescriptions for men aged 15 to 24 years and 926 (814 to 1,063) for men aged 25 to 34 years. The risk of PTA following RTI consultation was smaller and the number needed to treat higher at other ages and risks were lower in women than men.

conclusionsThe risk of PTA may be lower if antibiotics are prescribed for RTI but even in young men nearly 1,000 antibiotic prescriptions may be required to prevent 1 PTA case. We caution that lack of randomization and data standardization may bias estimates.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAge FactorsAnti-Bacterial AgentsBayes TheoremChildCohort StudiesDecision Support TechniquesFemaleGeneral PracticeHumansMaleMiddle AgedPeritonsillar AbscessPractice Patterns, Physicians'Primary Health CareAnti-Bacterial Agentsantibacterial agentsantibioticsdecision supportperitonsillar abscessprimary health carerespiratory tract infections

Identifiers

PMID32928754
PMCPMC7489966
OpenAlexW3086063977

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.