Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32928740›Full record

ArticleAnnals of the rheumatic diseases2021

Factors associated with progression to inflammatory arthritis in first-degree relatives of individuals with RA following autoantibody positive screening in a non-clinical setting.

Elizabeth A Bemis, M Kristen Demoruelle, Jennifer A Seifert, Kristen J Polinski, Michael H Weisman, Jane H Buckner, Peter K Gregersen, Ted R Mikuls, James R ODell, Richard M Keating and 3 more

Open access · greenAbstract readEvaluation StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of the rheumatic diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 39 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. REDEFINING AUTOIMMUNE DISEASES: THE OPPORTUNITY FOR PRECISION AND PREVENTION.Transactions of the American Clinical and Climatological Association · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Observational
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Antibody screening identifies FDRs at risk of RA.Nature reviews. Rheumatology · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Elizabeth A BemisDepartment of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, Colorado, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3556-3175
M Kristen DemoruelleDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Denver, Colorado, USA.
Jennifer A SeifertDepartment of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Kristen J PolinskiDepartment of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Michael H WeismanDivision of Rheumatology, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Jane H BucknerDepartment of Immunology, Benaroya Research Institute at Virginia Mason, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Peter K GregersenRobert S. Boas Center for Genomics and Human Genetics, The Feinstein Institute for Medical Research, North Shore-Long Island Jewish Health System, Manhasset, New York, USA.
Ted R MikulsDivision of Rheumatology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0897-2272
James R ODellDivision of Rheumatology, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, Nebraska, USA.
Richard M KeatingDivision of Rheumatology, Scripps Clinic/Scripps Green Hospital, San Diego, California, USA.
Kevin D DeaneDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Denver, Colorado, USA.
V Michael HolersDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Medicine, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Denver, Colorado, USA.
Jill M NorrisDepartment of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, Aurora, Colorado, USA jill.norris@ucdenver.edu.
Colorado School of Public Health · USUniversity of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus · USVA Nebraska Western Iowa Health Care System · USCedars-Sinai Medical Center · USNorthwell Health · USScripps Green Hospital · USVirginia Mason Medical Center · US

Funding

UCLA Clinical Translational Science InstituteUL1TR001881 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI ARLEEN F. BROWN, ARASH NAEIM · 2016 to 2026
$118.1M
ZONA-FREE HAMSTER OVA ASSAY AS AN INDICATOR OF MALE FERTILITYM01RR000425 · NCRR · LUNDQUIST INSTITUTE FOR BIOMEDICAL INNOVATION AT HARBOR-UCLA MEDICAL CENTER · PI WANG, CHRISTINA C. · 1985 to 2011
$74.2M
UCLA Clinical and Translational Science InstituteUL1TR000124 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI DUBINETT, STEVEN M. · 2012 to 2015
$57.0M
Virginia Mason/UCHSC Autoimmune Prevention CenterU19AI050864 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI EISENBARTH, GEORGE S · 2001 to 2011
$29.2M
ZORVIRAX ORAL SUSPENSION FOR SEVERE CHILDHOOD HERPES VIRUS INFECTIONSM01RR000069 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI SOKOL, RONALD J. · 1985 to 2008
$22.1M
UCLA CLINICAL AND TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE INSTITUTEUL1RR033176 · NCRR · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI DUBINETT, STEVEN M. · 2011 to 2011
$15.5M
Prevention Center U01: Early Targets for Antigen-Specific Tolerance Induction in Preclinical Rheumatoid ArthritisU01AI101981 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI HOLERS, VERNON MICHAEL · 2012 to 2021
$6.2M
Research Training in Rheumatology INCLUDE Down Syndrome SupplementT32AR007534 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI Kristine A. Kuhn · 1986 to 2026
$6.1M
RA-Related Autoantibodies in Healthy FDR of RA PatientsR01AR051394 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI NORRIS, JILL M · 2005 to 2011
$3.0M
Genetics, Exposures, and RA-Related AutoimmunityK23AR051461 · NIAMS · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI DEANE, KEVIN · 2004 to 2008
$657k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000124NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001881NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000069NCRR NIH HHS M01 RR000425NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR033176NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI101981NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI050864NIAMS NIH HHS K23 AR051461NIAMS NIH HHS R01 AR051394NIAMS NIH HHS T32 AR007534
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesLittle is known about the likelihood of developing inflammatory arthritis (IA) in individuals who screen autoantibody positive (aAb+) in a non-clinical research setting.

methodsWe screened for serum cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (anti-CCP) and rheumatoid factor isotype aAbs in subjects who were at increased risk for rheumatoid arthritis (RA) because they are a first-degree relative of an individual with classified RA (n=1780). We evaluated combinations of aAbs and high titre aAbs, as defined by 2-times (2 x) the standard cut-off and an optimal cut-off, as predictors of our two outcomes, aAb+ persistence and incident IA.

results304 subjects (17.1%) tested aAb+; of those, 131 were IA-free and had at least one follow-up visit. Sixty-four per cent of these tested aAb+ again on their next visit. Anti-CCP+ at levels ≥2 x the standard cut-off was associated with 13-fold higher likelihood of aAb +persistence. During a median of 4.4 years (IQR: 2.2-7.2), 20 subjects (15.3%) developed IA. Among subjects that screened anti-CCP+ at ≥ 2 x or ≥an optimal cut-off, 32% and 26% had developed IA within 5 years, respectively. Both anti-CCP cut-offs conferred an approximate fourfold increased risk of future IA (HR 4.09 and HR 3.95, p<0.01).

conclusionsThese findings support that aAb screening in a non-clinical setting can identify RA-related aAb+ individuals, as well as levels and combinations of aAbs that are associated with higher risk for future IA. Monitoring for the development of IA in aAb+ individuals and similar aAb testing approaches in at-risk populations may identify candidates for prevention studies in RA.

Indexed as

AdultAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesArthritis, RheumatoidAutoantibodiesDisease ProgressionFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenetic TestingHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedPedigreeProspective StudiesRheumatoid FactorRisk FactorsAnti-Citrullinated Protein AntibodiesAutoantibodiesRheumatoid Factorant-CCPepidemiologyrheumatoid arthritisrheumatoid factorsynovitis

Identifiers

PMID32928740
PMCPMC7855648
OpenAlexW3085698963

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.