Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32926237›Full record

ArticleHealth economics review2020

Cost of care for persons with dementia: using a discrete-time Markov chain approach with administrative and clinical data from the dementia service Centres in Austria.

Alexander Braun, Paulina Kurzmann, Margit Höfler, Gottfried Haber, Stefanie Auer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health economics review, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Alexander BraunInstitute for Health Care Management, University of Applied Sciences Krems, Piaristengasse 1, AT-3500, Krems, Austria. alexander.braun@fh-krems.ac.at.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0310-8688
Paulina KurzmannDepartment for Neurosciences and Preventive Medicine, Danube University Krems, Dr.-Karl-Dorrek-Straße 30, AT-3500, Krems, Austria.
Margit HöflerDepartment for Neurosciences and Preventive Medicine, Danube University Krems, Dr.-Karl-Dorrek-Straße 30, AT-3500, Krems, Austria.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5871-0417
Gottfried HaberDepartment for Economy and Health, Danube University Krems, Dr.-Karl-Dorrek-Straße 30, AT-3500, Krems, Austria.
Stefanie AuerDepartment for Neurosciences and Preventive Medicine, Danube University Krems, Dr.-Karl-Dorrek-Straße 30, AT-3500, Krems, Austria.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8893-6932

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is growing evidence that the cost for dementia care will increase rapidly in the coming years. Therefore, the objective of this paper was to determine the economic impact of treating clients with dementia in outpatient Dementia Service Centres (DSCs) and simulate the cost progression with real clinical and cost data.

methodsTo estimate the cost for dementia care, real administrative and clinical data from 1341 clients of the DSCs were used to approximate the total cost of non-pharmaceutical treatment and simulate the cost progression with a discrete-time Markov chain (DTMC) model. The economic simulation model takes severity and progression of dementia into account to display the cost development over a period of up to ten years.

resultsBased on the administrative data, the total cost for treating these 1341 clients of the DSCs came to 67,294,910 EUR in the first year. From these costs, 74% occurred as indirect costs. Within a five-year period, these costs will increase by 7.1-fold (16.2-fold over 10 years). Further, the DTMC shows that the greatest share of the cost increase derives from the sharp increase of people with severe dementia and that the cost of severe dementia prevails the cost in later periods.

conclusionThe DTMC model has shown that the cost increase of dementia care is mostly driven by the indirect cost and the increase of severity of dementia within any given year. The DTMC reveals also that the cost for mild dementia will decrease steadily over the time period of the simulation, whereas the cost for severe dementia increases sharply after running the simulation for 3 years.

Indexed as

Administrative dataCost and cost analysisCost simulationDementiaDiscrete-time Markov chain

Identifiers

PMID32926237
PMCPMC7489033

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.