ReviewThe Lancet. Planetary health2020
Climate change could shift disease burden from malaria to arboviruses in Africa.
Review in The Lancet. Planetary health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 179 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
179 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 354 citations in OpenAlex.
- The global burden of climate-sensitive health impacts: a systematic review of mortality, morbidity, and economic costs.The Pan African medical journal · 2026Pooled it
- Global Health Impacts for Economic Models of Climate Change: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Annals of the American Thoracic Society · 2022Pooled it
- How climate change affects mosquito-borne infectious disease: The different trajectories of malaria and dengue.Science advances · 2026Review
- Evaluation of the NovaplexInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2026Article
- Split suppression gene drives reveal a design tradeoff between inheritance and reproductive load inbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Article
- Early warning of serotype replacement, spatial risk redistribution, and shifting clinical phenotypes: Insights from the 2023-2025 dengue outbreak in Meta, Colombia.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Observational
- Predictive Modelling of Climate-Driven Malaria Transmission for Optimal Control Using a Coupled SEIR-SEI and GIS Framework.Public health challenges · 2026Article
- Mapping mosquitoes and their associated pathogens in West Africa.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2026Article
- Vector competence acrossJournal of virology · 2026Review
- Simulating the Transmission of Rift Valley Fever Virus via Raw Milk Consumption in Inter-Epidemic Periods.Viruses · 2026Article
- Dengue transmission risk in California under climate and land-use change: a semi-mechanistic modelling study.Lancet regional health. Americas · 2026Article
- Green Areas, Environmental Index, and Arbovirus Transmission Under Climate Change in Brazil.EcoHealth · 2026Article
- Rapid urban evolution of the dengue mosquito in West African cities.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Climate change and infectious diseases: translating evidence into action.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2026Article
- Yellow fever outbreak potential in Djibouti, Somalia and Yemen: a mathematical modelling study.BMC global and public health · 2026Article
- Modelling the impact of climate on cholera: a case study of Kolkata.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Unlocking new frontiers in vector control strategies using Aedes aegypti microbiota.Parasites & vectors · 2026Review
- Long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes of children perinatally infected with chikungunya: the CHIK13+ matched cohort study on Reunion Island.EClinicalMedicine · 2026Article
- World Malaria Day 2026: Driven to End Malaria.China CDC weekly · 2026Article
119 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Malaria is a long-standing public health problem in sub-Saharan Africa, whereas arthropod-borne viruses (arboviruses) such as dengue and chikungunya cause an under-recognised burden of disease. Many human and environmental drivers affect the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. In this Personal View, we argue that the direct effects of warming temperatures are likely to promote greater environmental suitability for dengue and other arbovirus transmission by Aedes aegypti and reduce suitability for malaria transmission by Anopheles gambiae. Environmentally driven changes in disease dynamics will be complex and multifaceted, but given that current public efforts are targeted to malaria control, we highlight Ae aegypti and dengue, chikungunya, and other arboviruses as potential emerging public health threats in sub-Saharan Africa.
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What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.