Spain's suicide statistics: do we believe them?

purposeThere is a widespread belief that suicides around the world are under-counted. A substantial proportion of suicides may have been inappropriately registered as accidental or of undetermined cause or intent. There is reason to explore to what extent low suicide rates in some nations could be partly attributable to under-counting.

methodsMortality statistics of most countries are available on-line. Numbers of suicide deaths in Spain, and in England and Wales (E & W), in male and female 5-year age groups, in each year between 2014 and 2018, were documented, along with deaths coded to ICD-10 accident or 'undetermined death' categories. Crude mortality rates were calculated using official population figures. Single year suicide, undetermined death, and non-transport accidental death rates of 12 other nations were calculated.

resultsSpain's crude suicide rate per 100,000 remains low (7.89) compared to other nations; its event of undetermined intent (EUI) death rate was 0.09 (contrasting with E & W's 1.74). Its accidental poisoning rate is much lower than that of E & W. The study showed much higher rates of ill-defined/unknown cause deaths in late life in Spain (both genders) than in E & W, and age-associated increases in accidental drowning rates parallel with increased suicide by drowning.

conclusionsReportedly low suicide rates in Spain could be partly attributable to increased rates of 'hidden suicide' (accidental drowning, male accidental poisoning, and possibly ill-defined/unknown cause deaths, but not EUIs). It would be appropriate (and not just in Spain) to increase numbers of verbal and/or forensic autopsies in questionable 'undetermined' cases.