ArticleEmerging infectious diseases2020
Early Insights from Statistical and Mathematical Modeling of Key Epidemiologic Parameters of COVID-19.
Article in Emerging infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
30 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Decoding mpox: a systematic review and meta-analysis of the transmission and severity parameters of the 2022-2023 global outbreak.BMJ global health · 2025Pooled it
- Assessing changes in incubation period, serial interval, and generation time of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: a systematic review and meta-analysis.BMC medicine · 2023Pooled it
- The Risk from Reopening International Travel During a Disease X Pandemic: A Case Study of SARS-CoV-2.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026Article
- Socioeconomic Interventions for WHO's End TB Strategy Targets: Insights from SIR Modelling in Kazakhstan.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026Article
- Building a coronavirus disease 2019 healthcare registry in an evolving pandemic.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- An analysis of the waning effect of COVID-19 vaccinations.Genomics & informatics · 2023Article
- Is It Possible to Predict COVID-19? Stochastic System Dynamic Model of Infection Spread in Kazakhstan.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Modelling the impact of the Omicron BA.5 subvariant in New Zealand.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2023Article
- Using national electronic health records for pandemic preparedness: validation of a parsimonious model for predicting excess deaths among those with COVID-19-a data-driven retrospective cohort study.Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2023Article
- Article
- SARS-CoV-2 Prevalence in Malawi Based on Data from Survey of Communities and Health Workers in 5 High-Burden Districts, October 2020.Emerging infectious diseases · 2022Review
- Lessons Learned from CDC's Global COVID-19 Early Warning and Response Surveillance System.Emerging infectious diseases · 2022Review
- Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Prioritizing interventions for preventing COVID-19 outbreaks in military basic training.PLoS computational biology · 2022Article
- Importation, Local Transmission, and Model Selection in Estimating the Transmissibility of COVID-19: The Outbreak in Shaanxi Province of China as a Case Study.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2022Article
- Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling.American journal of public health · 2022Article
- Mathematical modeling of the impact of Omicron variant on the COVID-19 situation in South Korea.Genomics & informatics · 2022Article
- COVID-19 epidemic under the K-quarantine model: Network approach.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2022Article
- Impact of close interpersonal contact on COVID-19 incidence: Evidence from 1 year of mobile device data.Science advances · 2022Article
- A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden.Epidemics · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
22 authors.
Funding
Abstract
We report key epidemiologic parameter estimates for coronavirus disease identified in peer-reviewed publications, preprint articles, and online reports. Range estimates for incubation period were 1.8-6.9 days, serial interval 4.0-7.5 days, and doubling time 2.3-7.4 days. The effective reproductive number varied widely, with reductions attributable to interventions. Case burden and infection fatality ratios increased with patient age. Implementation of combined interventions could reduce cases and delay epidemic peak up to 1 month. These parameters for transmission, disease severity, and intervention effectiveness are critical for guiding policy decisions. Estimates will likely change as new information becomes available.
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