Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32917261›Full record

ArticleScandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine2020

Real-time AI prediction for major adverse cardiac events in emergency department patients with chest pain.

Pei-I Zhang, Chien-Chin Hsu, Yuan Kao, Chia-Jung Chen, Ya-Wei Kuo, Shu-Lien Hsu, Tzu-Lan Liu, Hung-Jung Lin, Jhi-Joung Wang, Chung-Feng Liu and 1 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  16. Getting to the HEART of Major Adverse Cardiac Events.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Pei-I ZhangDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, Liouying, Tainan, Taiwan.
Chien-Chin HsuDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, 901 Zhonghua Road, Yongkang District, Tainan City, 710, Taiwan.
Yuan KaoDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, 901 Zhonghua Road, Yongkang District, Tainan City, 710, Taiwan.
Chia-Jung ChenInformation Systems, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan.
Ya-Wei KuoCenter for Quality Management, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan.
Shu-Lien HsuDepartment of Nursing, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan.
Tzu-Lan LiuInformation Systems, Chi Mei Medical Center, Tainan, Taiwan.
Hung-Jung LinDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, 901 Zhonghua Road, Yongkang District, Tainan City, 710, Taiwan.
Jhi-Joung WangDepartment of Medical Research, Chi Mei Medical Center, 901 Zhonghua Road, Yongkang District, Tainan City, 710, Taiwan.
Chung-Feng LiuDepartment of Medical Research, Chi Mei Medical Center, 901 Zhonghua Road, Yongkang District, Tainan City, 710, Taiwan.
Chien-Cheng HuangDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Chi Mei Medical Center, 901 Zhonghua Road, Yongkang District, Tainan City, 710, Taiwan. chienchenghuang@yahoo.com.tw.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3595-2952

Funding

Chi Mei Medical Center CMFHR10991
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundA big-data-driven and artificial intelligence (AI) with machine learning (ML) approach has never been integrated with the hospital information system (HIS) for predicting major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients with chest pain in the emergency department (ED). Therefore, we conducted the present study to clarify it.

methodsIn total, 85,254 ED patients with chest pain in three hospitals between 2009 and 2018 were identified. We randomized the patients into a 70%/30% split for ML model training and testing. We used 14 clinical variables from their electronic health records to construct a random forest model with the synthetic minority oversampling technique preprocessing algorithm to predict acute myocardial infarction (AMI) < 1 month and all-cause mortality < 1 month. Comparisons of the predictive accuracies among random forest, logistic regression, support-vector clustering (SVC), and K-nearest neighbor (KNN) models were also performed.

resultsPredicting MACE using the random forest model produced areas under the curves (AUC) of 0.915 for AMI < 1 month and 0.999 for all-cause mortality < 1 month. The random forest model had better predictive accuracy than logistic regression, SVC, and KNN. We further integrated the AI prediction model with the HIS to assist physicians with decision-making in real time. Validation of the AI prediction model by new patients showed AUCs of 0.907 for AMI < 1 month and 0.888 for all-cause mortality < 1 month.

conclusionsAn AI real-time prediction model is a promising method for assisting physicians in predicting MACE in ED patients with chest pain. Further studies to evaluate the impact on clinical practice are warranted.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceEmergency Service, HospitalMortalityAdultAgedAlgorithmsChest PainFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedModels, StatisticalMyocardial InfarctionRisk AssessmentSensitivity and SpecificityTaiwanArtificial intelligenceChest painEmergency departmentMachine learningMajor adverse cardiac events

Identifiers

PMID32917261
PMCPMC7488862

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.