Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32912855›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2020

Population impact and effectiveness of sequential 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate and monovalent rotavirus vaccine introduction on infant mortality: prospective birth cohort studies from Malawi.

Carina King, Naor Bar-Zeev, Tambosi Phiri, James Beard, Hazzie Mvula, Amelia Crampin, Ellen Heinsbroek, Dan Hungerford, Sonia Lewycka, Jennifer Verani and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Carina King *Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-6885-6716
Naor Bar-Zeev *International Vaccine Access Center, Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Tambosi PhiriMaiMwana Project, Parent and Child Health Initiative, Lilongwe, Malawi.
James BeardInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, London, UK.
Hazzie MvulaKaronga Prevention Study, Malawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Chilumba, Malawi.
Amelia CrampinKaronga Prevention Study, Malawi Epidemiology and Intervention Research Unit, Chilumba, Malawi.
Ellen HeinsbroekCentre for Global Vaccine Research, Institute of Infection & Global Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, UK.
Dan HungerfordCentre for Global Vaccine Research, Institute of Infection & Global Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, UK.
Sonia LewyckaNuffield Department of Medicine, Centre for Tropical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, Oxfordshire, UK.
Jennifer VeraniCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Cynthia WhitneyHubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Anthony CostelloInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, London, UK.
Charles MwansamboMaiMwana Project, Parent and Child Health Initiative, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Nigel CunliffeCentre for Global Vaccine Research, Institute of Infection & Global Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, UK.
Rob Heyderman *Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, College of Medicine, University of Malawi, Blantyre, Malawi.
Neil French *Centre for Global Vaccine Research, Institute of Infection & Global Health, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, Merseyside, UK N.French@liverpool.ac.uk.
VacSurv Consortium

Funding

Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 085417MA/Z/08/ZWellcome Trust WT091909/B/10/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) and rotavirus vaccine (RV) are key tools for reducing common causes of infant mortality. However, measurement of population-level mortality impact is lacking from sub-Saharan Africa. We evaluated mortality impact and vaccine effectiveness (VE) of PCV13 introduced in November 2011, with subsequent RV1 roll-out in October 2012, in Malawi.

methodsWe conducted two independent community-based birth cohort studies. Study 1, in northern Malawi (40000population), evaluated population impact using change-point analysis and negative-binomial regression of non-traumatic 14-51-week infant mortality preintroduction (1 January 2004 to 31 September 2011) and postintroduction (1 October 2011 to 1 July 2019), and against three-dose coverage. Study 2, in central Malawi (465 000 population), was recruited from 24 November 2011 to 1 June 2015. In the absence of preintroduction data, individual three-dose versus zero-dose VE was estimated using individual-level Cox survival models. In both cohorts, infants were followed with household visits to ascertain vaccination, socioeconomic and survival status. Verbal autopsies were conducted for deaths.

resultsStudy 1 included 20 291 live births and 216 infant deaths. Mortality decreased by 28.6% (95% CI: 15.3 to 39.8) post-PCV13 introduction. A change point was identified in November 2012. Study 2 registered 50 731 live births, with 454 deaths. Infant mortality decreased from 17 to 10/1000 live births during the study period. Adjusted VE was 44.6% overall (95% CI: 23.0 to 59.1) and 48.3% (95% CI: -5.9 to 74.1) against combined acute respiratory infection, meningitis and sepsis-associated mortality.

conclusionThese data provide population-level evidence of infant mortality reduction following sequential PCV13 and RV1 introduction into an established immunisation programme in Malawi. These data support increasing coverage of vaccine programmes in high-burden settings.

Indexed as

Rotavirus VaccinesHumansInfantInfant MortalityMalawiPneumococcal VaccinesProspective StudiesPneumococcal VaccinesRotavirus Vaccineschild healthpneumococcal diseasevaccines

Identifiers

PMID32912855
PMCPMC7482521

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.