ArticleParasites & vectors2020
Spatial risk analysis for the introduction and circulation of six arboviruses in the Netherlands.
Article in Parasites & vectors, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed.
- Rift Valley Fever at Europe's Risk Frontier: Climate, Vectors, and One Health Preparedness.Veterinary sciences · 2026Review
- Targeted monitoring informed by mapping the ongoing spread of tick-borne encephalitis virus, the Netherlands.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026Article
- Priorities for modelling arbovirus transmission under climate change.Trends in molecular medicine · 2025Review
- Spring fever: early spring predicts Ixodes pacificus (Acari: Ixodidae) activity in northwestern California.Journal of medical entomology · 2025Article
- Spatial inference of Culex pipiens abundance and biting activity distribution in the Netherlands using citizen science.Parasites & vectors · 2025Article
- Identifying hotspots and risk factors for tick-borne encephalitis virus emergence at its range margins to guide interventions, Great Britain.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2025Article
- A species-independent lateral flow microarray immunoassay to detect WNV and USUV NS1-specific antibodies in serum.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2024Article
- Metatranscriptomics Reveals the RNA Virome of Ixodes Persulcatus in the China-North Korea Border, 2017.Viruses · 2023Article
- Interactive effects of climate, land use and soil type onOne health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2023Article
- A systematic review of environmental factors related to WNV circulation in European and Mediterranean countries.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2023Review
- Continued Circulation of Tick-Borne Encephalitis Virus Variants and Detection of Novel Transmission Foci, the Netherlands.Emerging infectious diseases · 2022Article
- A One Health Evaluation of the Surveillance Systems on Tick-Borne Diseases in the Netherlands, Spain and Italy.Veterinary sciences · 2022Article
- First autochthonous human West Nile virus infections in the Netherlands, July to August 2020.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020Article
- Detection of West Nile virus in a common whitethroat (Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundArboviruses are a growing public health concern in Europe, with both endemic and exotic arboviruses expected to spread further into novel areas in the next decades. Predicting where future outbreaks will occur is a major challenge, particularly for regions where these arboviruses are not endemic. Spatial modelling of ecological risk factors for arbovirus circulation can help identify areas of potential emergence. Moreover, combining hazard maps of different arboviruses may facilitate a cost-efficient, targeted multiplex-surveillance strategy in areas where virus transmission is most likely. Here, we developed predictive hazard maps for the introduction and/or establishment of six arboviruses that were previously prioritized for the Netherlands: West Nile virus, Japanese encephalitis virus, Rift Valley fever virus, tick-borne encephalitis virus, louping-ill virus and Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus.
methodsOur spatial model included ecological risk factors that were identified as relevant for these arboviruses by an earlier systematic review, including abiotic conditions, vector abundance, and host availability. We used geographic information system (GIS)-based tools and geostatistical analyses to model spatially continuous datasets on these risk factors to identify regions in the Netherlands with suitable ecological conditions for arbovirus introduction and establishment.
resultsThe resulting hazard maps show that there is spatial clustering of areas with either a relatively low or relatively high environmental suitability for arbovirus circulation. Moreover, there was some overlap in high-hazard areas for virus introduction and/or establishment, particularly in the southern part of the country.
conclusionsThe similarities in environmental suitability for some of the arboviruses provide opportunities for targeted sampling of vectors and/or sentinel hosts in these potential hotspots of emergence, thereby increasing the efficient use of limited resources for surveillance.
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