ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020
The Effect of Strict State Measures on the Epidemiologic Curve of COVID-19 Infection in the Context of a Developing Country: A Simulation from Jordan.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 40 citations in OpenAlex.
- A Multi-SCALE Community Network-Based SEIQR Model to Evaluate the Dynamic NPIs of COVID-19.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- The Impact of COVID-19 National Lockdown on Myocardial Infarction (MI) Hospitalizations in Northern Jordan.Vascular health and risk management · 2023Article
- Medical, Dental, and Nursing Students' Experience with Virtual Practical Sessions: A Cross-Sectional Study in a Developing Country.Advances in medical education and practice · 2023Article
- COVID-19 diagnostic methods in developing countries.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022Review
- Comparative study of artificial neural network versus parametric method in COVID-19 data analysis.Results in physics · 2022Article
- Jordan's Pandemic Influenza Preparedness (PIP): A Reflection on COVID-19 Response.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Short-Term and Long-Term COVID-19 Pandemic Forecasting Revisited with the Emergence of OMICRON Variant in Jordan.Vaccines · 2022Article
- SARS-CoV-2 Seroepidemiological Investigation in Jordan: Seroprevalence, Herd Immunity, and Vaccination Coverage. A Population-Based National Study.International journal of general medicine · 2022Article
- Willingness and Influencing Factors to Receive COVID-19 Vaccination Among Chinese Medical Students.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- A simulated measurement for COVID-19 pandemic using the effective reproductive number on an empirical portion of population: epidemiological models.Neural computing & applications · 2021Article
- Comparative report of compliance to precautionary measures against COVID-19 in Nigeria and Jordan.Heliyon · 2021Article
- Article
- Beyond knowledge: Evaluating the practices and precautionary measures towards COVID-19 amongst medical doctors in Jordan.International journal of clinical practice · 2021Article
- Non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review.Physics reports · 2021Review
- Determinants of the willingness of the general population to get vaccinated against COVID-19 in a developing country.Clinical and experimental vaccine research · 2021Article
- Article
- Viral Clearance Course of COVID-19 Outbreaks.Journal of multidisciplinary healthcare · 2021Article
- Mask Mandates and COVID-19 Related Symptoms in the US.ClinicoEconomics and outcomes research : CEOR · 2021Article
- Attitudes and Commitment Toward Precautionary Measures Against COVID-19 Amongst the Jordanian Population: A Large-Scale Cross-Sectional Survey.Frontiers in public health · 2021Article
- Availability of Personal Protective Equipment Among Health-care Workers in Jordan During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Web-Based Survey.Risk management and healthcare policy · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
COVID-19 has posed an unprecedented global public health threat and caused a significant number of severe cases that necessitated long hospitalization and overwhelmed health services in the most affected countries. In response, governments initiated a series of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) that led to severe economic and social impacts. The effect of these intervention measures on the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic are not well investigated within developing country settings. This study simulated the trajectories of the COVID-19 pandemic curve in Jordan between February and May and assessed the effect of Jordan's strict NPI measures on the spread of COVID-19. A modified susceptible, exposed, infected, and recovered (SEIR) epidemic model was utilized. The compartments in the proposed model categorized the Jordanian population into six deterministic compartments: suspected, exposed, infectious pre-symptomatic, infectious with mild symptoms, infectious with moderate to severe symptoms, and recovered. The GLEAMviz client simulator was used to run the simulation model. Epidemic curves were plotted for estimated COVID-19 cases in the simulation model, and compared against the reported cases. The simulation model estimated the highest number of total daily new COVID-19 cases, in the pre-symptomatic compartmental state, to be 65 cases, with an epidemic curve growing to its peak in 49 days and terminating in a duration of 83 days, and a total simulated cumulative case count of 1048 cases. The curve representing the number of actual reported cases in Jordan showed a good pattern compatibility to that in the mild and moderate to severe compartmental states. The reproduction number under the NPIs was reduced from 5.6 to less than one. NPIs in Jordan seem to be effective in controlling the COVID-19 epidemic and reducing the reproduction rate. Early strict intervention measures showed evidence of containing and suppressing the disease.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.