Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32910062›Full record

ArticleAIDS (London, England)2020

Modeling an integrated HIV prevention and care continuum to achieve the Ending the HIV Epidemic goals.

Samuel M Jenness, Jordan A Johnson, Karen W Hoover, Dawn K Smith, Kevin P Delaney

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in AIDS (London, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
    Pooled it
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  16. HIV Care Seeking Pathways and Barriers to the Continuum of Care Faced by Persons Living With HIV in Rural Nepal: A Qualitative Study.Health expectations : an international journal of public participation in health care and health policy · 2025
    Article
  17. The Future of HIV: Challenges in meeting the 2030medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Samuel M JennessDepartment of Epidemiology, Emory University.
Jordan A JohnsonDepartment of Epidemiology, Emory University.
Karen W HooverDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Dawn K SmithDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Kevin P DelaneyDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.

Funding

EpiModel 2.0: Integrated Network Models for HIV/STI Prevention ScienceR01AI138783 · NIAID · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI JENNESS, SAMUEL · 2018 to 2021
$3.0M
ENHANCING MODELS OF HIV, VIRAL HEPATITIS, STIs, AND TUBERCULOSIS TO INFORM AND IMPROVE PUBLIC HEALTH IMPACTU38PS004646 · PS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI SULLIVAN, PATRICK · 2014 to 2015
$2.9M
Modeling Antiretroviral-Based Prevention among MSM in the USR21MH112449 · NIMH · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI JENNESS, SAMUEL · 2017 to 2018
$442k
NCHHSTP CDC HHS U38 PS004646NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI138783NIMH NIH HHS R21 MH112449
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe sought to evaluate, which combinations of HIV prevention and care activities would have the greatest impact towards reaching the US Ending the HIV Epidemic (EHE) plan goals of HIV incidence reduction.

designA stochastic network-based HIV transmission model for men who have sex with men (MSM), calibrated to surveillance estimates in the Atlanta area, a focal EHE jurisdiction.

methodsModel scenarios varied HIV screening rates under different assumptions of how HIV-negative MSM would be linked to PrEP initiation, and rates of HIV care linkage and retention for those screening positive.

resultsA ten-fold relative increase in HIV screening rates (to approximately biannual screening for black and Hispanic MSM and quarterly for white MSM) would lead to 43% of infections averted if integrated with PrEP initiation. Improvements focused only on black MSM would achieve nearly the same outcome (37% of infections averted). Improvements to HIV care retention would avert 41% of infections if retention rates were improved ten-fold. If both screening and retention were jointly improved ten-fold, up to 74% of cumulative infections would be averted. Under this scenario, it would take 4 years to meet the 75% EHE goal and 12 years to meet the 90% goal for Atlanta MSM.

conclusionReaching the EHE 75% incidence reduction goals by their target dates will require immediate and substantial improvements in HIV screening, PrEP, and ART care retention. Meeting these EHE goals in target jurisdictions like Atlanta will be possible only by addressing the HIV service needs of black MSM.

Indexed as

Continuity of Patient CareHomosexuality, MalePre-Exposure ProphylaxisRetention in CareDelivery of Health Care, IntegratedEpidemicsGoalsHIV InfectionsHumansIncidenceMaleModels, TheoreticalSocial Networking

Identifiers

PMID32910062
PMCPMC7606461

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.