Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32907668›Full record

SynthesisDisaster medicine and public health preparedness2022

COVID-19 Models for Hospital Surge Capacity Planning: A Systematic Review.

Michael G Klein, Carolynn J Cheng, Evonne Lii, Keying Mao, Hamza Mesbahi, Tianjie Zhu, John A Muckstadt, Nathaniel Hupert

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Disaster medicine and public health preparedness, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  6. A Strategy for Surge Management: Senior Residents on the Admitting Frontlines.Journal of community hospital internal medicine perspectives · 2026
    Article
  7. Frequency of Minor and Major Surgeries in Patients with COVID19.Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran · 2026
    Article
  8. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Michael G KleinDepartment of Marketing and Business Analytics, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-4159-2757
Carolynn J ChengDepartment of Marketing and Business Analytics, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA.
Evonne LiiDepartment of Marketing and Business Analytics, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA.
Keying MaoDepartment of Marketing and Business Analytics, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA.
Hamza MesbahiDepartment of Marketing and Business Analytics, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA.
Tianjie ZhuDepartment of Marketing and Business Analytics, San Jose State University, San Jose, CA.
John A MuckstadtSchool of Operations Research and Information Engineering, and Cornell Institute for Disease and Disaster Preparedness, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY.
Nathaniel HupertDepartments of Population Health Sciences and of Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, and Cornell Institute for Disease and Disaster Preparedness, Cornell University, New York, NY.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveHealth system preparedness for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) includes projecting the number and timing of cases requiring various types of treatment. Several tools were developed to assist in this planning process. This review highlights models that project both caseload and hospital capacity requirements over time.

methodsWe systematically reviewed the medical and engineering literature according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. We completed searches using PubMed, EMBASE, ISI Web of Science, Google Scholar, and the Google search engine.

resultsThe search strategy identified 690 articles. For a detailed review, we selected 6 models that met our predefined criteria. Half of the models did not include age-stratified parameters, and only 1 included the option to represent a second wave. Hospital patient flow was simplified in all models; however, some considered more complex patient pathways. One model included fatality ratios with length of stay (LOS) adjustments for survivors versus those who die, and accommodated different LOS for critical care patients with or without a ventilator.

conclusionThe results of our study provide information to physicians, hospital administrators, emergency response personnel, and governmental agencies on available models for preparing scenario-based plans for responding to the COVID-19 or similar type of outbreak.

Indexed as

COVID-19Surge CapacityDisease OutbreaksHospitalsHumansSARS-CoV-2coronavirusCOVID-19hospitalpandemicsurge capacity

Identifiers

PMID32907668
PMCPMC7643009

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.