Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32905292›Full record

ArticleClinical kidney journal2020

Machine learning analysis of serum biomarkers for cardiovascular risk assessment in chronic kidney disease.

Carles Forné, Serafi Cambray, Marcelino Bermudez-Lopez, Elvira Fernandez, Milica Bozic, Jose M Valdivielso, NEFRONA investigators

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical kidney journal, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 35% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Carles FornéBiostatistics Unit, Institute for Biomedical Research Dr. Pifarré Foundation, IRBLleida, Lleida, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8133-3274
Serafi CambrayVascular and Renal Translational Research Group, Institute for Biomedical Research Dr. Pifarré Foundation, IRBLleida and RedinRen RETIC, ISCIII, Lleida, Spain.
Marcelino Bermudez-LopezVascular and Renal Translational Research Group, Institute for Biomedical Research Dr. Pifarré Foundation, IRBLleida and RedinRen RETIC, ISCIII, Lleida, Spain.
Elvira FernandezVascular and Renal Translational Research Group, Institute for Biomedical Research Dr. Pifarré Foundation, IRBLleida and RedinRen RETIC, ISCIII, Lleida, Spain.
Milica BozicVascular and Renal Translational Research Group, Institute for Biomedical Research Dr. Pifarré Foundation, IRBLleida and RedinRen RETIC, ISCIII, Lleida, Spain.
Jose M ValdivielsoVascular and Renal Translational Research Group, Institute for Biomedical Research Dr. Pifarré Foundation, IRBLleida and RedinRen RETIC, ISCIII, Lleida, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-1343-0184
NEFRONA investigators
Instituto de Salud Carlos III · ESUniversitat de Lleida · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic kidney disease (CKD) patients show an increased burden of atherosclerosis and high risk of cardiovascular events (CVEs). There are several biomarkers described as being associated with CVEs, but their combined effectiveness in cardiovascular risk stratification in CKD has not been tested. The objective of this work is to analyse the combined ability of 19 biomarkers associated with atheromatous disease in predicting CVEs after 4 years of follow-up in a subcohort of the NEFRONA study in individuals with different stages of CKD without previous CVEs.

methodsNineteen putative biomarkers were quantified in 1366 patients (73 CVEs) and their ability to predict CVEs was ranked by random survival forest (RSF) analysis. The factors associated with CVEs were tested in Fine and Gray (FG) regression models, with non-cardiovascular death and kidney transplant as competing events.

resultsRSF analysis detected several biomarkers as relevant for predicting CVEs. Inclusion of those biomarkers in an FG model showed that high levels of osteopontin, osteoprotegerin, matrix metalloproteinase-9 and vascular endothelial growth factor increased the risk for CVEs, but only marginally improved the discrimination obtained with classical clinical parameters: concordance index 0.744 (95% confidence interval 0.609-0.878) versus 0.723 (0.592-0.854), respectively. However, in individuals with diabetes treated with antihypertensives and lipid-lowering drugs, the determination of these biomarkers could help to improve cardiovascular risk estimates.

conclusionsWe conclude that the determination of four biomarkers in the serum of CKD patients could improve cardiovascular risk prediction in high-risk individuals.

Indexed as

biomarkerscardiovascular riskcohort studycompeting risksrandom forest

Identifiers

PMID32905292
PMCPMC7467598
OpenAlexW2966748661

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.