ArticleComputational mechanics2020
Is it safe to lift COVID-19 travel bans? The Newfoundland story.
Article in Computational mechanics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
36 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Public health effects of travel-related policies on the COVID-19 pandemic: A mixed-methods systematic review.The Journal of infection · 2021Pooled it
- International travel-related control measures to contain the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid review.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2021Pooled it
- Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020Pooled it
- A multiscale theory for network advection- reaction-diffusion.Journal of mathematical biology · 2026Article
- Importation models for travel-related SARS-CoV-2 cases reported in Newfoundland and Labrador during the COVID-19 pandemic.Royal Society open science · 2025Article
- Travel bubble policies for low-risk air transport recovery during pandemics.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2025Article
- Tracing the COVID-19 spread pattern in India through a GIS-based spatio-temporal analysis of interconnected clusters.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Impacts of Daily Travel by Distances on the Spread of COVID-19: An Artificial Neural Network Model.Transportation research record · 2023Article
- Quantitative Framework for Establishing Low-Risk Inter-District Travel Corridors During COVID-19.Transportation research record · 2023Article
- Evaluating the Impact of the Pandemic Crisis on the Aviation Industry.Transportation research record · 2023Article
- Modeling nonlocal behavior in epidemics via a reaction-diffusion system incorporating population movement along a network.Computer methods in applied mechanics and engineering · 2022Article
- Delay differential equations for the spatially resolved simulation of epidemics with specific application to COVID-19.Mathematical methods in the applied sciences · 2022Article
- Framework for assessing and easing global COVID-19 travel restrictions.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Quarantine and testing strategies to ameliorate transmission due to travel during the COVID-19 pandemic: a modelling study.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2022Article
- Transmission dynamics model and the coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic: applications and challenges.Medical review (2021) · 2022Review
- Simulating the effects of mobility restrictions in the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in metropolitan areas in Portugal.PloS one · 2022Article
- Quarantine and testing strategies to ameliorate transmission due to travel during the COVID-19 pandemic: a modelling study.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2021Article
- Determining travel fluxes in epidemic areas.PLoS computational biology · 2021Article
- The effect of aviation responses to the control of imported COVID-19 cases.Journal of air transport management · 2021Article
- Modelling the impact of travel restrictions on COVID-19 cases in Newfoundland and Labrador.Royal Society open science · 2021Article
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4 authors.
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Abstract
A key strategy to prevent a local outbreak during the COVID-19 pandemic is to restrict incoming travel. Once a region has successfully contained the disease, it becomes critical to decide when and how to reopen the borders. Here we explore the impact of border reopening for the example of Newfoundland and Labrador, a Canadian province that has enjoyed no new cases since late April, 2020. We combine a network epidemiology model with machine learning to infer parameters and predict the COVID-19 dynamics upon partial and total airport reopening, with perfect and imperfect quarantine conditions. Our study suggests that upon full reopening, every other day, a new COVID-19 case would enter the province. Under the current conditions, banning air travel from outside Canada is more efficient in managing the pandemic than fully reopening and quarantining 95% of the incoming population. Our study provides quantitative insights of the efficacy of travel restrictions and can inform political decision making in the controversy of reopening.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.