Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32888317›Full record

ArticleCancer2020

Time-varying survival effects for squamous cell carcinomas at oropharyngeal and nonoropharyngeal head and neck sites in the United States, 1973-2015.

Andrew F Brouwer, Kevin He, Steven B Chinn, Alison M Mondul, Christina H Chapman, Marc D Ryser, Mousumi Banerjee, Marisa C Eisenberg, Rafael Meza, Jeremy M G Taylor

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 20% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
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  4. Article
  5. surtvep: An R package for estimating time-varying effects.Journal of open source software · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Andrew F BrouwerDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.ORCID 0000-0002-3779-5287
Kevin HeDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Steven B ChinnDepartment of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Alison M MondulDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.ORCID 0000-0002-8843-1416
Christina H ChapmanDepartment of Radiation Oncology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.ORCID 0000-0002-8513-5398
Marc D RyserDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Mousumi BanerjeeDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Marisa C EisenbergDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Rafael MezaDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Jeremy M G TaylorDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
University of Michigan · USDuke University · US

Funding

XenograftP30CA046592 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Alexey I Nesvizhskii · 1988 to 2026
$178.2M
Research Project 3: Modeling the Impact of Tobacco Control Policies on Polytobacco Use and Associated Health DisparitiesU54CA229974 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI David Theodore Levy, David Mendez Emilien · 2018 to 2026
$39.2M
Mechanistic Modeling of Oropharyngeal Cancer Treatment and Recurrence (Supplement)U01CA182915 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI EISENBERG, MARISA C, MEZA, RAFAEL · 2014 to 2019
$3.3M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA046592NCI NIH HHS U01 CA182915NCI NIH HHS U54 CA229974NIH HHS P30CA046592NIH HHS U01CA182915NIH HHS U54CA229974University of Michigan Rogel Cancer Center P30CA046592
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAnatomical site is strongly associated with head and neck cancer etiology, and etiology and patient sociodemographic characteristics are prognostic factors for survival. It is not known whether the effects of these predictors persist over the postdiagnosis period or are strongest proximal to the time of diagnosis.

methodsUsing survival times and causes of death for 180,434 patients with head and neck cancer in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results cancer registry (1973-2015), the empirical cumulative incidences of cancer-specific death and other-cause death were calculated with a competing risks framework, and the time-dependent effects (hazard ratios) of anatomical tumor site (oropharynx, oral cavity, or hypopharynx/larynx), age, sex, race, and year of diagnosis on cancer-specific death and other-cause death, stratified by tumor stage, were estimated.

resultsAll effects were significantly time-varying (P < .001). Patients with nonoropharyngeal cancer had a higher hazard of cancer-specific death but a similar cumulative fraction of deaths because of a higher rate of death from other causes. Cancer-specific survival has not changed for patients with nonoropharyngeal cancer over the past decades but has improved since 2000 for patients with oropharyngeal cancer. The effects of age and sex on cancer survival were strongest proximal to the diagnosis, whereas the effect of race persisted over time.

conclusionsRecent improvements in survival for patients with oropharyngeal cancer may be due more to an increasing fraction of cancers attributable to human papillomavirus than to increasing treatment effectiveness. The prognostic strength of anatomical site and other predictors changes over the postdiagnosis period. LAY SUMMARY: It is generally assumed that the effects of tumor and personal characteristics on the survival of patients with head and neck cancer are fixed over time, but this study shows that many factors are most important only in the first few years after diagnosis. Also, recent improvements in the survival of patients with head and neck cancer appear to benefit only patients with cancers of the oropharynx. The improvements may be due more to an increasing fraction of cancers caused by human papillomavirus (which generally have better outcomes) than to advances in head and neck cancer treatment overall.

Indexed as

AgedFemaleHead and Neck NeoplasmsHumansMaleMiddle AgedOropharyngeal NeoplasmsSEER ProgramSquamous Cell Carcinoma of Head and NeckTime FactorsUnited Stateshazard modelhead and neck cancerhuman papillomavirusoropharynx cancersurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID32888317
PMCPMC7869108
OpenAlexW3083155866

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.