Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32882464›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)2020

Machine learning reveals that prolonged exposure to air pollution is associated with SARS-CoV-2 mortality and infectivity in Italy.

Roberto Cazzolla Gatti, Alena Velichevskaya, Andrea Tateo, Nicola Amoroso, Alfonso Monaco

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  15. COVID-19 and environmental concerns: A rapid review.Renewable & sustainable energy reviews · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Roberto Cazzolla GattiBiological Institute, Tomsk State University, Russia; Konrad Lorenz Institute for Evolution and Cognition Research, Austria. Electronic address: roberto.cazzolla-gatti@kli.ac.at.
Alena VelichevskayaBiological Institute, Tomsk State University, Russia.
Andrea TateoUniversità degli Studi di Bari "A. Moro", Dipartimento Interateneo di Fisica, Bari, Italy.
Nicola AmorosoUniversità degli Studi di Bari "A. Moro", Dipartimento Interateneo di Fisica, Bari, Italy; Università degli Studi di Bari "A. Moro", Dipartimento di Farmacia - Scienze del Farmaco, Bari, Italy.
Alfonso MonacoIstituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN), Sezione di Bari, Bari, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Air pollution can increase the risk of respiratory diseases, enhancing the susceptibility to viral and bacterial infections. Some studies suggest that small air particles facilitate the spread of viruses and also of the new coronavirus, besides the direct person-to-person contagion. However, the effects of the exposure to particulate matter and other contaminants on SARS-CoV-2 has been poorly explored. Here we examined the possible reasons why the new coronavirus differently impacted on Italian regional and provincial populations. With the help of artificial intelligence, we studied the importance of air pollution for mortality and positivity rates of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in Italy. We discovered that among several environmental, health, and socio-economic factors, air pollution and fine particulate matter (PM2.5), as its main component, resulted as the most important predictors of SARS-CoV-2 effects. We also found that the emissions from industries, farms, and road traffic - in order of importance - might be responsible for more than 70% of the deaths associated with SARS-CoV-2 nationwide. Given the major contribution played by air pollution (much more important than other health and socio-economic factors, as we discovered), we projected that, with an increase of 5-10% in air pollution, similar future pathogens may inflate the epidemic toll of Italy by 21-32% additional cases, whose 19-28% more positives and 4-14% more deaths. Our findings, demonstrating that fine-particulate (PM2.5) pollutant level is the most important factor to predict SARS-CoV-2 effects that would worsen even with a slight decrease of air quality, highlight that the imperative of productivity before health and environmental protection is, indeed, a short-term/small-minded resolution.

Indexed as

Air PollutantsAir PollutionCoronavirus InfectionsPandemicsPneumonia, ViralArtificial IntelligenceBetacoronavirusCOVID-19HumansItalyMachine LearningParticulate MatterSARS-CoV-2Air PollutantsParticulate MatterFarmsIndustryItalyMortalityPM2.5PollutionSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID32882464
PMCPMC7442434

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.