Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32880677›Full record

ArticleKnee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA2022

A web-based machine-learning algorithm predicting postoperative acute kidney injury after total knee arthroplasty.

Sunho Ko, Changwung Jo, Chong Bum Chang, Yong Seuk Lee, Young-Wan Moon, Jae Woo Youm, Hyuk-Soo Han, Myung Chul Lee, Hajeong Lee, Du Hyun Ro

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In one paragraph

Article in Knee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
6.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 70 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Machine learning in knee arthroplasty: specific data are key-a systematic review.Knee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA · 2022
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  7. Joint-specific measures improve risk adjustment in total knee arthroplasty: A machine learning approach.Knee surgery, sports traumatology, arthroscopy : official journal of the ESSKA · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Sunho Ko *Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Changwung Jo *Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Chong Bum ChangDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul, South Korea.
Yong Seuk LeeDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul, South Korea.
Young-Wan MoonDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea.
Jae Woo YoumDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Samsung Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea.
Hyuk-Soo HanDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 110-744, Korea.
Myung Chul LeeDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 110-744, Korea.
Hajeong Lee *Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, South Korea.
Du Hyun Ro *Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, 101 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 110-744, Korea. duhyunro@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6199-908X
Seoul National University Hospital · KRSamsung Medical Center · KRSeoul National University · KRSeoul National University Bundang Hospital · KR

Funding

Seoul National University Hospital 03-2020-2100
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeAcute kidney injury (AKI) is a deleterious complication after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). The purposes of this study were to identify preoperative risk factors and develop a web-based prediction model for postoperative AKI, and assess how AKI affected the progression to ESRD.

methodThe study included 5757 patients treated in three tertiary teaching hospitals. The model was developed using data on 5302 patients from two hospitals and externally validated in 455 patients from the third hospital. Eighteen preoperative variables were collected and feature selection was performed. A gradient boosting machine (GBM) was used to predict AKI. A tenfold-stratified area under the curve (AUC) served as the metric for internal validation. Calibration was performed via isotonic regression and evaluated using a calibration plot. End-stage renal disease (ESRD) was followed up for an average of 41.7 months.

resultsAKI develops in up to 10% of patients undergoing TKA, increasing the risk of progression to ESRD. The ESRD odds ratio of AKI patients (compared to non-AKI patients) was 9.8 (95% confidence interval 4.3-22.4). Six key predictors of postoperative AKI were selected: higher preoperative levels of creatinine in serum, the use of general anesthesia, male sex, a higher ASA class (> 3), use of a renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitor, and no use of tranexamic acid (all p < 0.001). The predictive performance of our model was good (area under the curve 0.78 [95% CI 0.74-0.81] in the developmental cohort and improved in the external validation cohort (0.89). Our model can be accessed at https://safetka.net .

conclusionsA web-based predictive model for AKI after TKA was developed using a machine-learning algorithm featuring six preoperative variables. The model is simple and has been validated to improve both short- and long-term prognoses of TKA patients. Postoperative AKI may lead to ESRD, which surgeons should strive to avoid. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic level II.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryArthroplasty, Replacement, KneeAlgorithmsHumansInternetMachine LearningMalePostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAcute kidney injuryEnd-stage renal diseaseMachine learningPredictionTotal knee arthroplastyTotal knee replacement

Identifiers

PMID32880677
OpenAlexW3083570596

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.