ArticleInternational journal of biometeorology2021
Mortality and thermal environment (UTCI) in Poland-long-term, multi-city study.
Article in International journal of biometeorology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Thermal indices for assessing the impact of outdoor thermal environments on human health: a systematic review of epidemiological studies.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Pooled it
- In-hospital mortality of heat-related disease associated with wet bulb globe temperature: a Japanese nationwide inpatient data analysis.International journal of biometeorology · 2025Article
- Prospective heat stress risk assessment for professional soccer players in the context of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Thermal Comfort Conditions and Mortality in Brazil.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- Good weather for a ride (or not?): how weather conditions impact road accidents - a case study from Wielkopolska (Poland).International journal of biometeorology · 2024Article
- Assessment of Summer Regional Outdoor Heat Stress and Regional Comfort in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Agglomeration Over the Last 40 Years.GeoHealth · 2023Article
- Assessment of walkability and walkable routes of a 15-min city for heat adaptation: Development of a dynamic attenuation model of heat stress.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Machine Learning Analyzed Weather Conditions as an Effective Means in the Predicting of Acute Coronary Syndrome Prevalence.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022Article
- Heat strain and mortality effects of prolonged central European heat wave-an example of June 2019 in Poland.International journal of biometeorology · 2022Article
- Long-term changes in hazardous heat and cold stress in humans: multi-city study in Poland.International journal of biometeorology · 2021Article
- Universal thermal climate index associations with mortality, hospital admissions, and road accidents in Bavaria.PloS one · 2021Article
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1 author.
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Abstract
The aim of the study was to establish to what extent extreme thermal conditions have changed and how they affected mortality, and what conditions favor lower mortality rates or conversely, higher mortality rates. Heat/cold exposure was measured with the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). Daily mortality and meteorological data for 8 large Polish cities (Białystok, Gdańsk, Kraków, Lublin, Łódź, Poznań, Warszawa, and Wrocław) in the period 1975-2014 were analyzed. Generalized additive models were used to investigate the relationship between UTCI and mortality, and TBATS models were used for the evaluation of time series UTCI data. Most of the cities experienced a clear and statistically significant at p ≤ 0.05 decrease in cold stress days of 0.8-3.3 days/year and an increase in the frequency of thermal heat stress days of 0.3-0.6 days/year until 1992-1994. There was a clear difference as regards the dependence of mortality on UTCI between cities located in the "cooler" eastern part of Poland and the "warmer" central and western parts. "Cool" cities were characterized by a clear thermal optimum, approx. in the range of 5-30 °C UTCI, changing slightly depending on cause of death, age, or sex. For UTCI over 32 °C, in most of the cities except Gdańsk and Lublin, the relative risk of death (RR) rose by 10 to 20%; for UTCI over 38 °C, RR rose to 25-30% in central Poland. An increase in mortality on cold stress days was noted mainly in the "cool" cities: RR of total mortality increased even by 9-19% under extreme cold stress.
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