ArticleInfectious Disease Modelling2020
Replicating and projecting the path of COVID-19 with a model-implied reproduction number.
Article in Infectious Disease Modelling, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Impact of vaccination on the entire population and dose-response relation of COVID-19.Vacunas · 2023Article
- How to go viral: A COVID-19 model with endogenously time-varying parameters.Journal of econometrics · 2023Article
- Modeling mobility, risk, and pandemic severity during the first year of COVID.Socio-economic planning sciences · 2022Article
- Mathematical modeling to study the impact of immigration on the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic: A case study for Venezuela.Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology · 2022Article
- A random forest model for forecasting regional COVID-19 cases utilizing reproduction number estimates and demographic data.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2022Article
- Analysis of Delayed Vaccination Regimens: A Mathematical Modeling Approach.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Analysis of Key Factors of a SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination Program: A Mathematical Modeling Approach.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We demonstrate a methodology for replicating and projecting the path of COVID-19 using a simple epidemiology model. We fit the model to daily data on the number of infected cases in China, Italy, the United States, and Brazil. These four countries can be viewed as representing different stages, from later to earlier, of a COVID-19 epidemic cycle. We solve for a model-implied effective reproduction number
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.