ArticleEpidemiology and infection2020
The spatio-temporal epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 outbreak in Africa.
Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
34 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- A systematic review of spatial epidemiological modeling approaches applied during the COVID-19 pandemic.BMC public health · 2026Pooled it
- Spatial and spatiotemporal machine learning models for COVID-19 dynamics: a review of methodology and reporting practices.Epidemiologic reviews · 2025Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Methods Used in the Spatial and Spatiotemporal Analysis of COVID-19 Epidemiology: A Systematic Review.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Pooled it
- Risk factors for COVID-19 infection, disease severity and related deaths in Africa: a systematic review.BMJ open · 2021Pooled it
- Short-term forecasting and impact analysis of COVID-19 and the stock market in Morocco using ARIMA.PloS one · 2026Article
- A Systematic Review of Spatial Epidemiological Modeling Approaches Applied During the COVID-19 Pandemic.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025Article
- Geographic factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 prevalence during the first wave - 6 districts in Zambia, July 2020.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Biomathematical model to analyze the transmission dynamics of Covid-19: Case study, Santiago de Cali, Colombia.PloS one · 2024Article
- Article
- Estimation of epidemiological parameters and ascertainment rate from early transmission of COVID-19 across Africa.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- Spatio-temporal evolution of COVID-19 in the Republic of Ireland and the Greater Dublin Area (March to November 2020): A space-time cluster frequency approach.Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology · 2023Article
- Staging of COVID-19 disease; using selected laboratory profiles for prediction, prevention and management of severe SARS-CoV-2 infection in Africa-review.African health sciences · 2023Review
- The Pattern of COVID-19 in Horn of Africa countries, from March-December 2020.African health sciences · 2023Article
- Spatial and Temporal Analysis of COVID-19 Cases in West Java, Indonesia and Its Influencing Factors.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Determinants of COVID-19 cases and deaths in OECD countries.Zeitschrift fur Gesundheitswissenschaften = Journal of public health · 2023Article
- Article
- Climatic and Environmental Factors Influencing COVID-19 Transmission-An African Perspective.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2022Review
- Spatial-temporal trends of COVID-19 infection and mortality in Sudan.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Exploring the risk factors of COVID-19 Delta variant in the United States based on Bayesian spatio-temporal analysis.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Corona virus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was first detected in the city of Wuhan, China in December 2019. Although, the disease appeared in Africa later than other regions, it has now spread to virtually all countries on the continent. We provide early spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 within the first 62 days of the disease's appearance on the African continent. We used a two-parameter hurdle Poisson model to simultaneously analyse the zero counts and the frequency of occurrence. We investigate the effects of important healthcare capacities including hospital beds and number of medical doctors in different countries. The results show that cases of the pandemic vary geographically across Africa with notably high incidence in neighbouring countries particularly in West and North Africa. The burden of the disease (per 100 000) mostly impacted Djibouti, Tunisia, Morocco and Algeria. Temporally, during the first 4 weeks, the burden was highest in Senegal, Egypt and Mauritania, but by mid-April it shifted to Somalia, Chad, Guinea, Tanzania, Gabon, Sudan and Zimbabwe. Currently, Namibia, Angola, South Sudan, Burundi and Uganda have the least burden. These findings could be useful in guiding epidemiological interventions and the allocation of scarce resources based on heterogeneity of the disease patterns.
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