Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32868361›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2020

Global and regional incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life-years for Epstein-Barr virus-attributable malignancies, 1990-2017.

Gulfaraz Khan, Christina Fitzmaurice, Mohsen Naghavi, Luai A Ahmed

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 78 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
78citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

78 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 113 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Estimating the global burden of Epstein-Barr virus-related cancers.Journal of cancer research and clinical oncology · 2022
    Pooled it
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  20. Viral oncogenesis in cancer: from mechanisms to therapeutics.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2025
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18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Gulfaraz KhanMedical Microbiology & Immunology, United Arab Emirates University College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates g_khan@uaeu.ac.ae.ORCID 0000-0001-6836-1783
Christina FitzmauriceDepartment of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Mohsen NaghaviInstitute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Luai A AhmedInstitute of Public Health, United Arab Emirates University College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates.ORCID 0000-0001-5292-8212
United Arab Emirates University · AEUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo determine the global and regional burden of Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-attributed malignancies.

designAn international comparative study based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study estimates.

settingGlobal population by age, sex, region, demographic index and time. METHODS AND OUTCOME MEASURES: The burden of EBV-attributed Burkitt lymphoma (BL), Hodgkin lymphoma (HL), nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) and gastric carcinoma (GC) was estimated in a two-step process. In the first step, the fraction of each malignancy attributable to EBV was estimated based on published studies; this was then applied to the GBD estimates to determine the global and regional incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for each malignancy by age, sex, geographical region and social demographic index (SDI) from 1990 to 2017.

resultsThe combined global incidence of BL, HL, NPC and GC in 2017 was 1.442 million cases, with over 973 000 deaths. An estimated 265 000 (18%) incident cases and 164 000 (17%) deaths were due to the EBV-attributed fraction. This is an increase of 36% in incidence and 19% in mortality from 1990. In 2017, EBV-attributed malignancies caused 4.604 million DALYs, of which 82% was due to NPC and GC alone. The incidence of both of these malignancies was higher in high and middle-high SDI regions and peaked in adults aged between 50 and 70 years. All four malignancies were more common in males and the highest burden was observed in East Asia.

conclusionsThis study provides comprehensive estimates of the burden of EBV-attributed BL, HL, NPC and GC. The overall burden of EBV-related malignancies is likely to be higher since EBV is aetiologically linked to several other malignancies not included in this analysis. Increasing global population and life expectancy is expected to further raise this burden in the future. The urgency for developing an effective vaccine to prevent these malignancies cannot be overstated.

Indexed as

Epstein-Barr Virus InfectionsGlobal Burden of DiseaseHerpesvirus 4, HumanNeoplasmsAdultAgedChildFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceLife ExpectancyMaleMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life Yearsepidemiologymicrobiologyoncologypublic health

Identifiers

PMID32868361
PMCPMC7462312
OpenAlexW3082048166

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.