ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020
Effectiveness of Social Measures against COVID-19 Outbreaks in Selected Japanese Regions Analyzed by System Dynamic Modeling.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- International travel-related control measures to contain the COVID-19 pandemic: a rapid review.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2021Pooled it
- The future of inbound medical care as gauged from the foreigners undergoing complete medical examinations in Japan.Global health & medicine · 2024Article
- Public holidays increased the transmission of COVID-19 in Japan, 2020-2021: a mathematical modelling study.Epidemiology and health · 2024Article
- Improvement of the software for modeling the dynamics of epidemics and developing a user-friendly interface.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2023Article
- Analysis and prediction of improved SEIR transmission dynamics model: taking the second outbreak of COVID-19 in Italy as an example.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Cultivating patient-centered care competence through a telemedicine-based course: An explorative study of undergraduate medical students' self-reflective writing.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- The impact of inspection policies on reducing disease prevalence in public buildings: A systems dynamics approach.Building and environment · 2022Article
- Using simulation modelling and systems science to help contain COVID-19: A systematic review.Systems research and behavioral science · 2022Article
- Anticipating human resilience and vulnerability on the path to 2030: What can we learn from COVID-19?Futures · 2022Article
- Living Lab for Citizens' Wellness: A Case of Maintaining and Improving a Healthy Diet under the COVID-19 Pandemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- System dynamics analysis on the effectiveness of vaccination and social mobilization policies for COVID-19 in the United States.PloS one · 2022Article
- Superiority of Mild Interventions against COVID-19 on Public Health and Economic Measures.Journal of personalized medicine · 2021Article
- An evaluation of COVID-19 transmission control in Wenzhou using a modified SEIR model.Epidemiology and infection · 2021Article
- Impacts of varying strengths of intervention measures on secondary outbreaks of COVID-19 in two different regions.Nonlinear dynamics · 2021Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In Japan's response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), virus testing was limited to symptomatic patients due to limited capacity, resulting in uncertainty regarding the spread of infection and the appropriateness of countermeasures. System dynamic modelling, comprised of stock flow and infection modelling, was used to describe regional population dynamics and estimate assumed region-specific transmission rates. The estimated regional transmission rates were then mapped against actual patient data throughout the course of the interventions. This modelling, together with simulation studies, demonstrated the effectiveness of inbound traveler quarantine and resident self-isolation policies and practices. A causal loop approach was taken to link societal factors to infection control measures. This causal loop modelling suggested that the only effective measure against COVID-19 transmission in the Japanese context was intervention in the early stages of the outbreak by national and regional governments, and no social self-strengthening dynamics were demonstrated. These findings may contribute to an understanding of how social resilience to future infectious disease threats can be developed.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.