Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32864361›Full record

ArticleSwiss journal of economics and statistics2020

Timing matters: the impact of response measures on COVID-19-related hospitalization and death rates in Germany and Switzerland.

Martin Huber, Henrika Langen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Swiss journal of economics and statistics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Effectiveness of social distancing measures and lockdowns for reducing transmission of COVID-19 in non-healthcare, community-based settings.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2023
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  8. Timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions to mitigate COVID-19 transmission and their effects on mobility: a cross-country analysis.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2022
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  9. Do COVID-19 containment measures work? Evidence from Switzerland.Swiss journal of economics and statistics · 2022
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  14. Are countries' precautionary actions against COVID-19 effective? An assessment study of 175 countries worldwide.Saudi pharmaceutical journal : SPJ : the official publication of the Saudi Pharmaceutical Society · 2021
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  17. The effect of weekend curfews on epidemics: a Monte Carlo simulation.Turkish journal of biology = Turk biyoloji dergisi · 2021
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  19. Early assessment of the impact of mitigation measures to control COVID-19 in 22 French metropolitan areas, October to November 2020.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Martin HuberUniversity of Fribourg, Bd. de Pérolles 90, Fribourg, 1700 Switzerland.
Henrika LangenUniversity of Fribourg, Bd. de Pérolles 90, Fribourg, 1700 Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We assess the impact of the timing of lockdown measures implemented in Germany and Switzerland on cumulative COVID-19-related hospitalization and death rates. Our analysis exploits the fact that the epidemic was more advanced in some regions than in others when certain lockdown measures came into force, based on measuring health outcomes relative to the region-specific start of the epidemic and comparing outcomes across regions with earlier and later start dates. When estimating the effect of the relative timing of measures, we control for regional characteristics and initial epidemic trends by linear regression (Germany and Switzerland), doubly robust estimation (Germany), or synthetic controls (Switzerland). We find for both countries that a relatively later exposure to the measures entails higher cumulative hospitalization and death rates on region-specific days after the outbreak of the epidemic, suggesting that an earlier imposition of measures is more effective than a later one. For Germany, we further evaluate curfews (as introduced in a subset of states) based on cross-regional variation. We do not find any effects of curfews on top of the federally imposed contact restriction that banned groups of more than 2 individuals.

Indexed as

COVID-19LockdownPandemicSocial distancingSynthetic controlTreatment effect

Identifiers

PMID32864361
PMCPMC7447586

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.