Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32862509›Full record

ArticleAnnals of clinical and translational neurology2020

Does including machine learning predictions in ALS clinical trial analysis improve statistical power?

Nina Zhou, Paul Manser

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of clinical and translational neurology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 24% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A neuromuscular clinician's primer on machine learning.Journal of neuromuscular diseases · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Considerations for Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS) Clinical Trial Design.Neurotherapeutics : the journal of the American Society for Experimental NeuroTherapeutics · 2022
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Nina ZhouDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Paul ManserDepartment of Biostatistics, Genentech, Inc., South San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9332-0975
University of Michigan · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAmyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) is a neurodegenerative disease which leads to progressive muscle weakness and eventually death. The increasing availability of large ALS clinical trial datasets have generated much interest in developing predictive models for disease progression. However, the utility of predictive modeling on clinical trial analysis has not been thoroughly evaluated.

methodsWe evaluated a predictive modeling approach for ALS disease progression measured by ALSFRS-R using the PRO-ACT database and validated our findings in a novel test set from a former clinical trial. We examined clinical trial scenarios where model predictions could improve statistical power for detecting treatment effects with simulated clinical trials.

resultsModels constructed with imputed PRO-ACT data have better external validation results than those fitted with complete observations. When fitted with imputed data, super learner (R

interpretationPredictive modeling approaches for ALSFRS-R are able to explain a moderate amount of variability in longitudinal change, which is improved by robust missing data handling for baseline characteristics. Including ALSFRS-R post-baseline model prediction results as a covariate in the model for primary analysis may increase power under moderate treatment effects.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAmyotrophic Lateral SclerosisDatabases, FactualDisease ProgressionHumansLinear ModelsNeurodegenerative DiseasesSeverity of Illness Index

Identifiers

PMID32862509
PMCPMC7545604
OpenAlexW3082935907

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.