Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32850611›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2020

Global and Temporal COVID-19 Risk Evaluation.

Mudassar Arsalan, Omar Mubin, Fady Alnajjar, Belal Alsinglawi, Nazar Zaki

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Regional vulnerability for COVID-19 in Cameroon.The Pan African medical journal · 2020
    Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Mudassar ArsalanSchool of Computer, Data and Mathematical Sciences, Western Sydney University, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Omar MubinSchool of Computer, Data and Mathematical Sciences, Western Sydney University, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Fady AlnajjarCollege of IT, UAE University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates.
Belal AlsinglawiSchool of Computer, Data and Mathematical Sciences, Western Sydney University, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Nazar ZakiCollege of IT, UAE University, Al Ain, United Arab Emirates.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused unprecedented crisis across the world, with many countries struggling with the pandemic. In order to understand how each country is impacted by the virus and assess the risk on a global scale we present a regression based analysis using two pre-existing indexes, namely the Inform and Infectious Disease Vulnerability Index, in conjunction with the number of elderly living in the population. Further we introduce a temporal layer in our modeling by incorporating the stringency level employed by each country over a period of 6 time intervals. Our results show that the indexes and level of stringency are not ideally suited for explaining variation in COVID-19 risk, however the ratio of elderly in the population is a stand out indicator in terms of its predictive power for mortality risk. In conclusion, we discuss how such modeling approaches can assist public health policy.

Indexed as

PandemicsRisk AssessmentAgedCOVID-19Health PolicyHumansPublic HealthCOVID-19infectious disease vulnerability indexinform indexmortality risk evaluationpublic health

Identifiers

PMID32850611
PMCPMC7430161

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.