Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32848900›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in psychiatry2020

Raising Placebo Efficacy in Antidepressant Trials Across Decades Explained by Small-Study Effects: A Meta-Reanalysis.

Lisa Holper

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in psychiatry, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 40% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

Lisa HolperDepartment of Psychiatry, Psychotherapy, and Psychosomatics, University Hospital of Psychiatry, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
University of Zurich · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecent meta-analyses reported placebo response rate in antidepressant trials to be stable since the 1970s. These meta-analyses however were limited in considering only linear time trends, assessed trial-level covariates based on single-model hypothesis testing only, and did not adjust for small-study effects (SSE), a well-known but not yet formally assessed bias in antidepressant trials.

methodsThis secondary meta-analysis extends previous work by modeling nonlinear time trends, assessing the relative importance of trial-level covariates using a multimodel approach, and rigorously adjusting for SSE. Outcomes were placebo efficacy (continuous), based on the Hamilton Depression Scale, and placebo response rate.

resultsResults suggested that any nonlinear time trends in both placebo efficacy (continuous) and response rate were best explained by SSE. Adjusting for SSE revealed a significant gradual increase in placebo efficacy (continuous) from 1979 to 2014. A similar observation was made for placebo response rate, but did not reach significance due higher susceptibility to SSE. By contrast, trial-level covariates alone were found to be insufficient in explaining time trends.

conclusionThe present findings contribute to the ongoing debate on antidepressant placebo outcomes and highlight the need to adjust for bias introduced by SSE. The results are of clinical relevance because SSE may affect the evaluation of success or failure in antidepressant trials.

Indexed as

antidepressantsmeta-analysisplacebosmall-study effectstime trend

Identifiers

PMID32848900
PMCPMC7399231
OpenAlexW3045781228

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.