Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32843815›Full record

ArticleJournal of applied statistics2019

Propensity score prediction for electronic healthcare databases using Super Learner and High-dimensional Propensity Score Methods.

Cheng Ju, Mary Combs, Samuel D Lendle, Jessica M Franklin, Richard Wyss, Sebastian Schneeweiss, Mark J van der Laan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of applied statistics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Ensemble-learning approach improves fracture prediction using genomic and phenotypic data.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. A two-stage super learner for healthcare expenditures.Health services & outcomes research methodology · 2022
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Cheng JuDivision of Biostatistics, University of California, Berkeley.
Mary CombsDivision of Biostatistics, University of California, Berkeley.
Samuel D LendleDivision of Biostatistics, University of California, Berkeley.
Jessica M FranklinDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Richard WyssDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Sebastian SchneeweissDivision of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital and Harvard Medical School.
Mark J van der LaanDivision of Biostatistics, University of California, Berkeley.

Funding

Targeted Learning using adaptive designs for HIV Epidemic control in East AfricaR01AI074345 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI PETERSEN, MAYA LIV, VANDERLAAN, MARK J · 2007 to 2023
$6.6M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI074345
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The optimal learner for prediction modeling varies depending on the underlying data-generating distribution. Super Learner (SL) is a generic ensemble learning algorithm that uses cross-validation to select among a "library" of candidate prediction models. While SL has been widely studied in a number of settings, it has not been thoroughly evaluated in large electronic healthcare databases that are common in pharmacoepidemiology and comparative effectiveness research. In this study, we applied and evaluated the performance of SL in its ability to predict the propensity score (PS), the conditional probability of treatment assignment given baseline covariates, using three electronic healthcare databases. We considered a library of algorithms that consisted of both nonparametric and parametric models. We also proposed a novel strategy for prediction modeling that combines SL with the high-dimensional propensity score (hdPS) variable selection algorithm. Predictive performance was assessed using three metrics: the negative log-likelihood, area under the curve (AUC), and time complexity. Results showed that the best individual algorithm, in terms of predictive performance, varied across datasets. The SL was able to adapt to the given dataset and optimize predictive performance relative to any individual learner. Combining the SL with the hdPS was the most consistent prediction method and may be promising for PS estimation and prediction modeling in electronic healthcare databases.

Indexed as

Electronic Healthcare DatabaseEnsemble LearningMachine LearningObservational StudyPropensity Score

Identifiers

PMID32843815
PMCPMC7444746

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.