Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32842981›Full record

ArticleBMC pediatrics2020

A clinical prediction model for complicated appendicitis in children younger than five years of age.

Wei Feng, Xu-Feng Zhao, Miao-Miao Li, Hua-Lei Cui

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pediatrics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Wei FengGraduate school, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300070, China.
Xu-Feng ZhaoGraduate school, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, 300070, China.
Miao-Miao LiDepartment of Pediatric Surgery, Tianjin Children's Hospital, Tianjin, 300134, China.
Hua-Lei CuiDepartment of Pediatric Surgery, Tianjin Children's Hospital, Tianjin, 300134, China. chlfjp@sina.com.
Tianjin Children's Hospital · CNTianjin Medical University · CN

Funding

Tianjin Science and Technology Committee 14RCGFSY00150
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundNo reliably specific method for complicated appendicitis has been identified in children younger than five years of age. This study aimed to analyze the independent factors for complicated appendicitis in children younger than five years of age, develop and validate a prediction model for the differentiation of simple and complicated appendicitis.

methodsA retrospective study of 382 children younger than five years of age with acute appendicitis from January 2007 to December 2016 was conducted with assessments of demographic data, clinical symptoms and signs, and pre-operative laboratory results. According to intraoperative findings and postoperative pathological results, acute appendicitis was divided into simple and complicated appendicitis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to screen out the independent factors of complicated appendicitis, and develop a prediction model for complicated appendicitis. Then 156 such patients from January 2017 to December 2019 were collected as validation sample to validate the prediction model. Test performance of the prediction model was compared with the ALVARADO score and Pediatric Appendicitis Score (PAS).

resultsOf the 382 patients, 244 (63.9%) had complicated appendicitis. Age, white blood cell count, and duration of symptoms were the independent factors for complicated appendicitis in children younger than five years of age. The final predication model for complicated appendicitis included factors above. In validation sample, the prediction model exhibited a high degree of discrimination (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.830; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.762-0.885) corresponding to a optimal cutoff value of 0.62, and outperformed the PAS (AUC: 0.735; 95% CI: 0.658-0.802), ALVARADO score (AUC: 0.733; 95% CI: 0.657-0.801).

conclusionAge, white blood cell count, and duration of symptoms could be used to predict complicated appendicitis in children younger than five years of age with acute appendicitis. The prediction model is a novel but promising method that aids in the differentiation of acute simple and complicated appendicitis.

Indexed as

AppendicitisChildChild, PreschoolHumansLeukocyte CountModels, StatisticalPrognosisRetrospective StudiesAcute appendicitisChildrenComplicated appendicitisPre-school age

Identifiers

PMID32842981
PMCPMC7447565
OpenAlexW3080683784

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.