ArticlePloS one2020
A cointegration analysis of rabies cases and weather components in Davao City, Philippines from 2006 to 2017.
Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Rabies in Southeast Asia: a systematic review of its incidence, risk factors and mortality.BMJ open · 2023Pooled it
- Impacts of meteorological factors on zoonotic infections in domestic cat and dog populations: A scoping review of international evidence.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Review
- A review of rabies in Southern African wildlife: Reservoir hosts, transmission dynamics, and control implications.Open veterinary journal · 2026Review
- The Effect of Climate Change on Emergence and Evolution of Zoonotic Diseases in Asia.Zoonoses and public health · 2025Review
- Phylogeography Analysis Reveals Rabies Epidemiology, Evolution, and Transmission in the Philippines.Molecular biology and evolution · 2025Article
- Optimal Control Theory Applied to Rabies Epidemiological Model with Time-dependent Vaccination in Davao City, Mindanao Island, Philippines.Acta medica Philippina · 2025Article
- Effect of COVID-19, Vaccination Ratio, and Human Population on the Reported Canine Rabies Cases in Davao City, Philippines: A Panel Regression Analysis.Acta medica Philippina · 2025Article
- Internet-based surveillance to track trends in seasonal allergies across the United States.PNAS nexus · 2024Article
- Factors associated with the spatiotemporal distribution of dog rabies in Tunisia.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- Patterns of Animal Rabies Prevalence in Northern South Africa between 1998 and 2022.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2024Article
- Impulse Response Functions for Nonlinear, Nonstationary, and Heterogeneous Systems, Estimated by Deconvolution and Demixing of Noisy Time Series.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Integrating Risk Assessment and Decision-Making Methods in Analyzing the Dynamics of COVID-19 Epidemics in Davao City, Mindanao Island, Philippines.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2022Review
- Climate Change and Companion Animals: Identifying Links and Opportunities for Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies.Integrative and comparative biology · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Rabies is a lethal viral disease and dogs are the major disease reservoir in the Philippines. Spatio-temporal variations in environmental factors are known to affect disease dynamics. Some rabies-affected countries considered investigating the role of weather components in driving rabies cases and it has helped them to strategize their control efforts. In this study, cointegration analysis was conducted between the monthly reported rabies cases and the weather components, such as temperature and precipitation, to verify the effect of weather components on rabies incidence in Davao City, Philippines. With the Engle-Granger cointegration tests, we found that rabies cases are cointegrated into each of the weather components. It was further validated, using the Granger causality test, that each weather component predicts the rabies cases and not vice versa. Moreover, we performed the Johansen cointegration test to show that the weather components simultaneously affect the number of rabies cases, which allowed us to estimate a vector-error correction model for rabies incidence as a function of temperature and precipitation. Our analyses showed that canine rabies in Davao City was weather-sensitive, which implies that rabies incidence could be projected using established long-run relationship among reported rabies cases, temperature, and precipitation. This study also provides empirical evidence that can guide local health officials in formulating preventive strategies for rabies control and eradication based on weather patterns.
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