ArticleThe Journal of international medical research2020
Seasonal variation in notified tuberculosis cases from 2014 to 2018 in eastern China.
Article in The Journal of international medical research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.
- Understanding the mechanisms of climate change impact on tuberculosis: a complex systems approach.BMC public health · 2025Pooled it
- Epidemiological Distribution Characteristics of Tuberculosis Among Older Adults in Chongqing (2020-2024): Spatial-Temporal Analysis.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2026Article
- Impact of policy shifts and festival holidays on tuberculosis surveillance: a time-series analysis in Southwest China (2014-2024).Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Forecasting tuberculosis epidemics using an autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average model: a 17-year time series analysis.Journal of global health · 2025Article
- Analysis of Tuberculosis Epidemiological Distribution Characteristics in Fujian Province, China, 2005-2021: Spatial-Temporal Analysis Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2024Article
- Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatial-Temporal Analysis of Tuberculosis at the County-Level in Shandong Province, China, 2016-2020.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2022Article
- Spatio-temporal distribution of tuberculosis and the effects of environmental factors in China.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Time trend prediction and spatial-temporal analysis of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis in Guizhou Province, China, during 2014-2020.BMC infectious diseases · 2022Article
- Application of the ARIMA Model in Forecasting the Incidence of Tuberculosis in Anhui During COVID-19 Pandemic from 2021 to 2022.Infection and drug resistance · 2022Article
- Estimating the Effects of the COVID-19 Outbreak on the Reductions in Tuberculosis Cases and the Epidemiological Trends in China: A Causal Impact Analysis.Infection and drug resistance · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveTuberculosis (TB) incidence shows a seasonal trend. The purpose of this study was to explore seasonal trends in TB cases in Jiangsu Province.
methodsTB case data were collected from the TB registration system from 2014 to 2018. The X12-ARIMA model was used to adjust the Jiangsu TB time series. Analysis of variance was used to compare TB seasonal amplitude (SA) between subgroups and identify factors responsible for seasonal variation.
resultsThe TB incidence in Jiangsu showed a seasonal trend. Confirmed active TB peaked in March and reached a minimum in February. The amplitude of the peak-to-bottom difference was 38.15%. The SAs in individuals 7 to 17 years old (80.00%) and students (71.80%) were significantly different than those in other subgroups. Among bacterial culture positive individuals, the SAs among female patients, individuals aged 7 to 17 years and students were significantly different from those in the reference group. Among culture-negative patients, the SA among individuals aged 7 to 17 years was significantly different those in other subgroups.
conclusionsThe TB incidence in Jiangsu Province displayed a seasonal trend. Factors related to seasonal variation were age and occupation. Our results highlight the importance of controlling
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