Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32839624›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2020

An inflammatory cytokine signature predicts COVID-19 severity and survival.

Diane Marie Del Valle, Seunghee Kim-Schulze, Hsin-Hui Huang, Noam D Beckmann, Sharon Nirenberg, Bo Wang, Yonit Lavin, Talia H Swartz, Deepu Madduri, Aryeh Stock and 22 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06940609 (Magnetic Resonance Analysis of Neural Inflammatory Factors and External Stimulation), which is not on this map. Cited by 1,669 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1,669citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
52.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06940609 phase2recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Magnetic Resonance Analysis of Neural Inflammatory Factors and External Stimulation (MANIFEST)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of New MexicoRan2025 to 2029Enrolled60ConditionsLong COVID, Long COVID Syndrome, Long COVID-19 Syndrome, PASCArmsaccelerated intermittent theta burst stimulation
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1,669 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 2,683 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. 2025 Clinical Practice Guideline Update by the Infectious Diseases Society of America on the Treatment and Management of COVID-19: Infliximab.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Guideline
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Trial
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Observational
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. The immunology behind inflammaging-causes, sources, and mechanisms.The Journal of allergy and clinical immunology · 2026
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

1,609 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Diane Marie Del Valle *Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Seunghee Kim-Schulze *Human Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Hsin-Hui Huang *Institute for Health Care Delivery Science, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Noam D BeckmannGenetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Sharon NirenbergGenetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8556-4213
Bo WangDepartment of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1679-0994
Yonit LavinDepartment of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Talia H SwartzDepartment of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Deepu MadduriDepartment of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Aryeh StockPathology, Molecular and Cell-Based Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1500-5819
Thomas U MarronPrecision Immunology Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Hui XieHuman Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Manishkumar PatelHuman Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Kevin TuballesHuman Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Oliver Van OekelenGenetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5824-197X
Adeeb RahmanHuman Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Patricia KovatchGenetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8368-1742
Judith A AbergDepartment of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8162-0284
Eric SchadtGenetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Sundar JagannathDepartment of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Madhu MazumdarInstitute for Health Care Delivery Science, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Alexander W CharneyGenetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8135-6858
Adolfo Firpo-BetancourtPathology, Molecular and Cell-Based Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Damodara Rao MenduPathology, Molecular and Cell-Based Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Jeffrey JhangPathology, Molecular and Cell-Based Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
David ReichAnesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Keith SigelDepartment of Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Carlos Cordon-CardoPathology, Molecular and Cell-Based Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0858-5624
Marc FeldmannKennedy Institute of Rheumatology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Samir ParekhTisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Miriam MeradHuman Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Sacha GnjaticHuman Immune Monitoring Center, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA. sacha.gnjatic@mssm.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5643-9520
Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USTisch Hospital · USUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

Project 3 - Ex vivo immune profiling of dengue viruses and vaccinesU19AI118610 · NIAID · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI FERNANDEZ-SESMA, ANA, HARRIS, EVA · 2015 to 2021
$46.6M
THE TISCH CANCER INSTITUTE - CANCER CENTER SUPPORT GRANTP30CA196521 · NCI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Deanna L Benson · 2015 to 2026
$35.4M
High-Dimensional Immune Monitoring of NCI-Supported Immunotherapy TrialsU24CA224319 · NCI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Sacha Gnjatic, Seunghee Kim-Schulze · 2017 to 2026
$21.5M
Personalized Immunotherapy of Patients with Ovarian CancerP01CA190174 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI DELAIR, DEBORAH · 2015 to 2019
$10.5M
Determination of mucosal immune responses to, and infection of the gastrointestinal tract by Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2)R01DK123749 · NIDDK · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI CERUTTI, ANDREA, FAITH, JEREMIAH JAMES · 2020 to 2024
$4.9M
Characterizing and predicting colitis in immune checkpoint blockade-treated cancer patientsU01DK124165 · NIDDK · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI COLOMBEL, JEAN-FREDERIC, FAITH, JEREMIAH JAMES · 2020 to 2024
$2.9M
Development of a multi-omic clinical decision platform to guide personalized therapyR01CA244899 · NCI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI PAREKH, SAMIR · 2020 to 2024
$2.8M
Novel tools to maximize profiling of tissue and antigen specific immune dysregulation in allergy and inflammatory bowel disesaseU24AI118644 · NIAID · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI BERIN, CECILIA, MERAD, MIRIAM · 2015 to 2020
$2.4M
Purinergic signaling in HIV-1 infection and inflammationK08AI120806 · NIAID · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI SWARTZ, TALIA H · 2016 to 2020
$878k
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA190174NCI NIH HHS P30 CA196521NCI NIH HHS R01 CA244899NCI NIH HHS U24 CA224319NIAID NIH HHS K08 AI120806NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI118610NIAID NIH HHS U24 AI118644NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK123749NIDDK NIH HHS U01 DK124165
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Several studies have revealed that the hyper-inflammatory response induced by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is a major cause of disease severity and death. However, predictive biomarkers of pathogenic inflammation to help guide targetable immune pathways are critically lacking. We implemented a rapid multiplex cytokine assay to measure serum interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α and IL-1β in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) upon admission to the Mount Sinai Health System in New York. Patients (n = 1,484) were followed up to 41 d after admission (median, 8 d), and clinical information, laboratory test results and patient outcomes were collected. We found that high serum IL-6, IL-8 and TNF-α levels at the time of hospitalization were strong and independent predictors of patient survival (P < 0.0001, P = 0.0205 and P = 0.0140, respectively). Notably, when adjusting for disease severity, common laboratory inflammation markers, hypoxia and other vitals, demographics, and a range of comorbidities, IL-6 and TNF-α serum levels remained independent and significant predictors of disease severity and death. These findings were validated in a second cohort of patients (n = 231). We propose that serum IL-6 and TNF-α levels should be considered in the management and treatment of patients with COVID-19 to stratify prospective clinical trials, guide resource allocation and inform therapeutic options.

Indexed as

AgedBetacoronavirusCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19CytokinesFemaleHospitalizationHumansInterleukin-1betaInterleukin-6Interleukin-8MaleMiddle AgedPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2CXCL8 protein, humanCytokinesIL1B protein, humanIL6 protein, humanInterleukin-1betaInterleukin-6Interleukin-8TNF protein, humanTumor Necrosis Factor-alpha

Identifiers

PMID32839624
PMCPMC7869028
OpenAlexW3080981445

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.