Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32839337›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

US racial inequality may be as deadly as COVID-19.

Elizabeth Wrigley-Field

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Cross-sectional Average Length of Life Entropy (European journal of population = Revue europeenne de demographie · 2024
    Article
  8. Stolen Lives: Redress for Slavery's and Jim Crow's Ongoing Theft of Lifespan.The Russell Sage Foundation journal of the social sciences : RSF · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Racial-Ethnic Disparities in Dual-Function Life Expectancy.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2023
    Article
  14. Urban visual intelligence: Uncovering hidden city profiles with street view images.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Elizabeth Wrigley-FieldDepartment of Sociology and Minnesota Population Center, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455 ewf@umn.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-3489-4279

Funding

Life Course Center Program Development CoreP30AG066613 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI Sarah M Flood · 2020 to 2026
$5.0M
Minnesota Population Center Science and Technical CoreP2CHD041023 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI THERESA LOUISE OSYPUK · 2016 to 2026
$4.3M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066613NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041023
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic is causing a catastrophic increase in US mortality. How does the scale of this pandemic compare to another US catastrophe: racial inequality? Using demographic models, I estimate how many excess White deaths would raise US White mortality to the best-ever (lowest) US Black level under alternative, plausible assumptions about the age patterning of excess mortality in 2020. I find that 400,000 excess White deaths would be needed to equal the best mortality ever recorded among Blacks. For White mortality in 2020 to reach levels that Blacks experience outside of pandemics, current COVID-19 mortality levels would need to increase by a factor of nearly 6. Moreover, White life expectancy in 2020 will remain higher than Black life expectancy has ever been unless nearly 700,000 excess White deaths occur. Even amid COVID-19, US White mortality is likely to be less than what US Blacks have experienced every year. I argue that, if Black disadvantage operates every year on the scale of Whites' experience of COVID-19, then so too should the tools we deploy to fight it. Our imagination should not be limited by how accustomed the United States is to profound racial inequality.

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusBlack or African AmericanCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19HumansLife ExpectancyMortalityPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2Socioeconomic FactorsUnited StatesWhite PeopleCOVID-19mortalityracial inequality

Identifiers

PMID32839337
PMCPMC7486779

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.