Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32838059›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology and global health

Modelling of reproduction number for COVID-19 in India and high incidence states.

S Marimuthu, Melvin Joy, B Malavika, Ambily Nadaraj, Edwin Sam Asirvatham, L Jeyaseelan

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epidemiology and global health. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 45 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Mathematical modelling for decision making of lockdown during COVID-19.Applied intelligence (Dordrecht, Netherlands) · 2022
    Article
  10. Analysis of the second wave of COVID-19 in India based on SEIR model.The European physical journal. Special topics · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

S MarimuthuDepartment of Biostatistics, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, 632 002, India.
Melvin JoyDepartment of Biostatistics, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, 632 002, India.
B MalavikaDepartment of Biostatistics, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, 632 002, India.
Ambily NadarajDepartment of Biostatistics, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, 632 002, India.
Edwin Sam AsirvathamHealth Systems and Policy, Health Systems Research India Initiative (HSRII), Trivandrum, India.
L JeyaseelanDepartment of Biostatistics, Christian Medical College, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, 632 002, India.
Christian Medical College, Vellore · IN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSince the onset of the COVID-19 in China, forecasting and projections of the epidemic based on epidemiological models have been in the centre stage. Researchers have used various models to predict the maximum extent of the number of cases and the time of peak. This yielded varying numbers. This paper aims to estimate the effective reproduction number (R) for COVID-19 over time using incident number of cases that are reported by the government.

methodsExponential Growth method to estimate basic reproduction rate R

resultsThe basic reproduction number (R

conclusionThe study estimated a baseline R

Indexed as

COVID-19Exponential growth methodIncident casesReproduction numberTime dependent method

Identifiers

PMID32838059
PMCPMC7324346
OpenAlexW3039228813

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.