Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32836328›Full record

ArticleFutures2020

Exploring global food system shocks, scenarios and outcomes.

Hannah Hamilton, Roslyn Henry, Mark Rounsevell, Dominic Moran, Frances Cossar, Kathleen Allen, Lisa Boden, Peter Alexander

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Futures, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Food Systems Transformation for Child Health and Well-Being: The Essential Role of Dairy.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Review
  10. Article
  11. African and Native American foodways and resilience: From 1619 to COVID-19.Journal of agriculture, food systems, and community development · 2021
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hannah HamiltonUniversity of Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Roslyn HenryUniversity of Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Mark RounsevellKarlsruhe Institute of Technology, Germany.
Dominic MoranUniversity of Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Frances CossarUniversity of Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Kathleen AllenUniversity of Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Lisa BodenUniversity of Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Peter AlexanderUniversity of Edinburgh, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Globalised food supply chains are increasingly susceptible to systemic risks, with natural, social and economic shocks in one region potentially leading to price spikes and supply changes experienced at the global scale. Projections commonly extrapolate from recent histories and adopt a 'business as usual' approach that risks failing to take account of shocks or unpredictable events that can have dramatic consequences for the status quo, as seen with the global Covid-19 pandemic. This study used an explorative stakeholder process and shock centred narratives to discuss the potential impact of a diversity of shocks, examining system characteristics and trends that may amplify their impact. Through the development of scenarios, stakeholders revealed concerns about the stability of the food system and the social, economic and environmental consequence of food related shocks. Increasing connectivity served as a mechanism to heighten volatility and vulnerability within all scenarios, with reliance on singular crops and technologies (i.e. low diversity) throughout systems highlighted as another potential source of vulnerability. The growing role of social media in shaping attitudes and behaviours towards food, and the increasing role of automation emerged as contemporary areas of concern, which have thus far been little explored within the literature.

Indexed as

ConnectivityDiversityFood systemShocksSocial mediaStakeholders

Identifiers

PMID32836328
PMCPMC7320689

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.