Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32834417›Full record

ArticleBuilding and environment2020

Impact of intervention methods on COVID-19 transmission in Shenzhen.

Nan Zhang, Pan Cheng, Wei Jia, Chung-Hin Dung, Li Liu, Wenzhao Chen, Hao Lei, Changcheng Kan, Xiaoyan Han, Boni Su and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Building and environment, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. COVID-2019 - A comprehensive pathology insight.Pathology, research and practice · 2020
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Nan ZhangDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Pan ChengDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Wei JiaZhejiang Institute of Research and Innovation, The University of Hong Kong, Lin An, Zhejiang, China.
Chung-Hin DungDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Li LiuDepartment of Building Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Wenzhao ChenDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Hao LeiSchool of Public Health, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
Changcheng KanBeijing Baidu Netcom Science Technology Co., Ltd., Baidu Campus, Shangdi 10th Street, Beijing, China.
Xiaoyan HanBeijing Baidu Netcom Science Technology Co., Ltd., Baidu Campus, Shangdi 10th Street, Beijing, China.
Boni SuChina Electric Power Planning & Engineering Institute, Beijing, China.
Shenglan XiaoDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Hua QianSchool of Energy and Environment, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
Borong LinDepartment of Building Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Yuguo LiDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

By March 31, 2020, COVID-19 had spread to more than 200 countries. Over 750,000 confirmed cases were reported, leading to more than 36,000 deaths. In this study, we analysed the efficiency of various intervention strategies to prevent infection by the virus, SARS-CoV-2, using an agent-based SEIIR model, in the fully urbanised city of Shenzhen, Guangdong Province, China. Shortening the duration from symptom onset to hospital admission, quarantining recent arrivals from Hubei Province, and letting symptomatic individuals stay at home were found to be the three most important interventions to reduce the risk of infection in Shenzhen. The ideal time window for a mandatory quarantine of arrivals from Hubei Province was between 10 January and January 17, 2020, while the ideal time window for local intervention strategies was between 15 and 22 January. The risk of infection could have been reduced by 50% if all symptomatic individuals had immediately gone to hospital for isolation, and by 35% if a 14-day quarantine for arrivals from Hubei Province had been introduced one week earlier. Intervention strategies implemented in Shenzhen were effective, and the spread of infection would be controlled even if the initial basic reproduction number had doubled. Our results may be useful for other cities when choosing their intervention strategies to prevent outbreaks of COVID-19.

Indexed as

Agent-based modelClose contactCOVID-19Infection spreadSEIR model

Identifiers

PMID32834417
PMCPMC7331564

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.