Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32834328›Full record

ArticleCities (London, England)2020

Evaluating the effect of city lock-down on controlling COVID-19 propagation through deep learning and network science models.

Xiaoqi Zhang, Zheng Ji, Yanqiao Zheng, Xinyue Ye, Dong Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cities (London, England), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Xiaoqi ZhangNational School of Development, Southeast University, China.
Zheng JiNational School of Development, Southeast University, China.
Yanqiao ZhengSchool of Finance, Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics, China.
Xinyue YeDepartment of Landscape Architecture and Urban Planning, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77840, USA.
Dong LiInnovation Center for Technology, Beijing Tsinghua Tongheng Urban Planning & Design Institute, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The special epistemic characteristics of the COVID-19, such as the long incubation period and the infection through asymptomatic cases, put severe challenge to the containment of its outbreak. By the end of March 2020, China has successfully controlled the within- spreading of COVID-19 at a high cost of locking down most of its major cities, including the epicenter, Wuhan. Since the low accuracy of outbreak data before the mid of Feb. 2020 forms a major technical concern on those studies based on statistic inference from the early outbreak. We apply the supervised learning techniques to identify and train NP-Net-SIR model which turns out robust under poor data quality condition. By the trained model parameters, we analyze the connection between population flow and the cross-regional infection connection strength, based on which a set of counterfactual analysis is carried out to study the necessity of lock-down and substitutability between lock-down and the other containment measures. Our findings support the existence of non-lock-down-typed measures that can reach the same containment consequence as the lock-down, and provide useful guideline for the design of a more flexible containment strategy.

Indexed as

ChinaCity lock-downCounterfactual analysisCOVID-19Deep learningNetwork science

Identifiers

PMID32834328
PMCPMC7402371

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.